Simmons First National Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SFNC Stock | USD 20.39 0.40 2.00% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Simmons First National is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Simmons First buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SFNC positions.
Check out Simmons First Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Simmons and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Simmons First National. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Simmons |
Execute Simmons First Buy or Sell Advice
The Simmons recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Simmons First National. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Simmons First National or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Simmons First's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Simmons First Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Simmons First generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Simmons Bank Opens Regional Office in Jonesboro |
Simmons First Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Simmons First's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Simmons First's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Simmons First daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Simmons First National price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Simmons First returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Simmons First.
| Mean Return | -0.25 | Value At Risk | -2.97 | Potential Upside | 1.72 | Standard Deviation | 1.55 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Simmons First historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Simmons Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Fj Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Rhino Investment Partners, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 880.6 K | Mesirow Institutional Investment Management, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 774.6 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 748 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 673.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 18.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 14.9 M |
Simmons First Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 2.5B | (1.8B) | (968.5M) | (68.0M) | 122.6M | 128.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 189.3M | 229.9M | 286.9M | 507.9M | 229.3M | 240.8M | |
| Depreciation | 49.0M | 47.2M | 49.0M | 47.9M | 1.6M | 1.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (130.9M) | 3.7M | (3.0M) | 58.8M | 67.0M | 70.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 74.6M | 78.9M | 94.1M | (101.0M) | (105.4M) | (100.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 13.3M | 47.9M | 35.3M | 33.1M | 45.5M | 47.8M | |
| Net Income | 254.9M | 271.2M | 256.4M | 175.1M | 152.7M | 160.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.5B | 1.7B | 682.1M | 614.1M | 287.1M | 472.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 20.4M | (54.4M) | 91.5M | 27.3M | 31.4M | 17.6M | |
| Investments | (318.8M) | (4.6B) | (946.2M) | (519.3M) | 369.5M | 388.0M | |
| Change Receivables | (6.2M) | 3.2M | (10.8M) | 4.4M | 4.0M | 4.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | (175.1M) | 187.5M | (198.4M) | (597.9M) | (538.1M) | (511.2M) |
Simmons First Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Simmons First or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Simmons First's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Simmons stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Simmons First Volatility Alert
Simmons First National exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.46 and kurtosis of 1.59. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Simmons First's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Simmons First's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Simmons First Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Simmons First's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Simmons First's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Simmons First and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Simmons First or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Simmons First's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Simmons First by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Simmons First to competition |
| Fundamentals | Simmons First | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0439 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0056 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.21 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.32 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.95 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 125.81 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.70 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 73.35 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.43 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.46 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.71 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.49 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 762.75 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 728.85 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 248.48 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 152.69 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 680.7 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.36 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.11 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 6.02 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 28.09 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 229.33 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.28 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.21 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.72 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 24.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.95 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.86 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.54 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 26.88 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.38 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.61 % |
Note: Disposition of 1986 shares by Jennifer Compton of Simmons First subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Simmons First Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Simmons . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 9335.29 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.25 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.23 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.36 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.4 |
About Simmons First Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Simmons First National? Buying financial instruments such as Simmons Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Simmons First in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of small to mid-sized companies. The Small Value Funds theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Value Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Simmons First Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Simmons First. If investors know Simmons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Simmons First listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.008 | Dividend Share 0.84 | Earnings Share 1.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.165 |
The market value of Simmons First National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Simmons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Simmons First's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Simmons First's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Simmons First's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Simmons First's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simmons First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Simmons First is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Simmons First's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.