Gran Tierra Energy Stock Market Value

GTE Stock  USD 6.88  0.11  1.62%   
Gran Tierra's market value is the price at which a share of Gran Tierra trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gran Tierra Energy investors about its performance. Gran Tierra is trading at 6.88 as of the 1st of December 2024, a 1.62 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 6.73.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gran Tierra Energy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gran Tierra over a given investment horizon. Check out Gran Tierra Correlation, Gran Tierra Volatility and Gran Tierra Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gran Tierra.
Symbol

Gran Tierra Energy Price To Book Ratio

Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gran Tierra. If investors know Gran will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gran Tierra listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.81)
Earnings Share
1.43
Revenue Per Share
19.878
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Return On Assets
0.0651
The market value of Gran Tierra Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gran that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gran Tierra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gran Tierra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gran Tierra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gran Tierra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gran Tierra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gran Tierra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gran Tierra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gran Tierra 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gran Tierra's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gran Tierra.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gran Tierra on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gran Tierra Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gran Tierra over 720 days. Gran Tierra is related to or competes with Epsilon Energy, Crescent Energy, Evolution Petroleum, CKX Lands, GeoPark, PHX Minerals, and Riley Exploration. Gran Tierra Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas proper... More

Gran Tierra Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gran Tierra's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gran Tierra Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gran Tierra Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gran Tierra's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gran Tierra's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gran Tierra historical prices to predict the future Gran Tierra's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gran Tierra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.846.859.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.368.3711.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.846.859.86
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.9313.1114.55
Details

Gran Tierra Energy Backtested Returns

At this point, Gran Tierra is somewhat reliable. Gran Tierra Energy holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0316, which attests that the entity had a 0.0316% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Gran Tierra Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Gran Tierra's risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.25) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.095%. Gran Tierra has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.59, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gran Tierra's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gran Tierra is expected to be smaller as well. Gran Tierra Energy right now retains a risk of 3.01%. Please check out Gran Tierra standard deviation, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Gran Tierra will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.65  

Very good reverse predictability

Gran Tierra Energy has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gran Tierra time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gran Tierra Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Gran Tierra price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.58

Gran Tierra Energy lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gran Tierra stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gran Tierra's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gran Tierra returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gran Tierra has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gran Tierra regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gran Tierra stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gran Tierra stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gran Tierra stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gran Tierra Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gran Tierra's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gran Tierra stock have on its future price. Gran Tierra autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gran Tierra autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gran Tierra stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gran Tierra Energy.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Gran Tierra Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Gran Tierra's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Gran Tierra's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Gran Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Gran Tierra Correlation, Gran Tierra Volatility and Gran Tierra Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gran Tierra.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Gran Tierra technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Gran Tierra technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Gran Tierra trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...