Conifer Holding Stock Market Value
| CNFR Stock | USD 0.81 0.03 3.57% |
| Symbol | Conifer |
Conifer Holding Price To Book Ratio
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Conifer Holding. If investors know Conifer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Conifer Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.92) | Earnings Share (2.29) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.37) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Conifer Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Conifer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Conifer Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Conifer Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Conifer Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Conifer Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Conifer Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Conifer Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Conifer Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Conifer Holding 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Conifer Holding's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Conifer Holding.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Conifer Holding on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Conifer Holding or generate 0.0% return on investment in Conifer Holding over 90 days. Conifer Holding is related to or competes with Creative Media, Kingstone Companies, and Canterbury Park. Conifer Holdings, Inc., an insurance holding company, engages in the sale of property and casualty insurance products More
Conifer Holding Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Conifer Holding's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Conifer Holding upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.6 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.83) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.55 |
Conifer Holding Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Conifer Holding's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Conifer Holding's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Conifer Holding historical prices to predict the future Conifer Holding's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.14) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 4.38 |
Conifer Holding Backtested Returns
Conifer Holding secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.19, which signifies that the company had a -0.19 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Conifer Holding exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Conifer Holding's Standard Deviation of 2.93, risk adjusted performance of (0.14), and Mean Deviation of 2.25 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.12, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Conifer Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Conifer Holding is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Conifer Holding has a negative expected return of -0.53%. Please make sure to confirm Conifer Holding's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Conifer Holding performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.56 |
Modest predictability
Conifer Holding has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Conifer Holding time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Conifer Holding price movement. The serial correlation of 0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Conifer Holding price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.56 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.3 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Conifer Holding lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Conifer Holding stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Conifer Holding's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Conifer Holding returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Conifer Holding has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Conifer Holding regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Conifer Holding stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Conifer Holding stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Conifer Holding stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Conifer Holding Lagged Returns
When evaluating Conifer Holding's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Conifer Holding stock have on its future price. Conifer Holding autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Conifer Holding autocorrelation shows the relationship between Conifer Holding stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Conifer Holding.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Additional Tools for Conifer Stock Analysis
When running Conifer Holding's price analysis, check to measure Conifer Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Conifer Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Conifer Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Conifer Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Conifer Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Conifer Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.