Cincinnati Financial Stock Market Value
| CINF Stock | USD 145.39 3.40 2.39% |
| Symbol | Cincinnati |
Cincinnati Financial Price To Book Ratio
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cincinnati Financial. If investors know Cincinnati will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cincinnati Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Dividend Share 3.24 | Earnings Share 14.52 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) |
The market value of Cincinnati Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cincinnati that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cincinnati Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cincinnati Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cincinnati Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cincinnati Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cincinnati Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cincinnati Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cincinnati Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Cincinnati Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cincinnati Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cincinnati Financial.
| 12/17/2024 |
| 03/17/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Cincinnati Financial on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cincinnati Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cincinnati Financial over 90 days. Cincinnati Financial is related to or competes with Progressive Corp, Travelers Companies, Chubb, W R, Allstate, Selective Insurance, and Horace Mann. Cincinnati Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property casualty insurance products in the U... More
Cincinnati Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cincinnati Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cincinnati Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.0083 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.94 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.95) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.63 |
Cincinnati Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cincinnati Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cincinnati Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cincinnati Financial historical prices to predict the future Cincinnati Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1037 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.13) |
Cincinnati Financial Backtested Returns
Cincinnati Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the company had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Cincinnati Financial exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Cincinnati Financial's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), standard deviation of 1.59, and Mean Deviation of 1.18 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.72, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Cincinnati Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cincinnati Financial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Cincinnati Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0056%. Please make sure to confirm Cincinnati Financial's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if Cincinnati Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.4 |
Poor reverse predictability
Cincinnati Financial has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cincinnati Financial time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cincinnati Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Cincinnati Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.4 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.65 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 13.02 |
Cincinnati Financial lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Cincinnati Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cincinnati Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cincinnati Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cincinnati Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Cincinnati Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cincinnati Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cincinnati Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cincinnati Financial stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Cincinnati Financial Lagged Returns
When evaluating Cincinnati Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cincinnati Financial stock have on its future price. Cincinnati Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cincinnati Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cincinnati Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cincinnati Financial.
Regressed Prices |
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Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Cincinnati Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cincinnati Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cincinnati Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cincinnati Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Cincinnati Financial Correlation, Cincinnati Financial Volatility and Cincinnati Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cincinnati Financial. For more detail on how to invest in Cincinnati Stock please use our How to Invest in Cincinnati Financial guide.You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Cincinnati Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.