KAGA EL (Germany) Market Value

9V2 Stock  EUR 16.80  0.10  0.60%   
KAGA EL's market value is the price at which a share of KAGA EL trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of KAGA EL LTD investors about its performance. KAGA EL is trading at 16.80 as of the 1st of March 2025. This is a 0.60 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 16.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of KAGA EL LTD and determine expected loss or profit from investing in KAGA EL over a given investment horizon. Check out KAGA EL Correlation, KAGA EL Volatility and KAGA EL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on KAGA EL.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between KAGA EL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KAGA EL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KAGA EL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

KAGA EL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to KAGA EL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of KAGA EL.
0.00
03/12/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
03/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in KAGA EL on March 12, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding KAGA EL LTD or generate 0.0% return on investment in KAGA EL over 720 days. KAGA EL is related to or competes with United Utilities, Algonquin Power, Check Point, Sunny Optical, Chesapeake Utilities, and AviChina Industry. Kaga Electronics Co., Ltd. sells electronics parts, semiconductors, PCs, and peripherals in Japan, North America, Europe... More

KAGA EL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure KAGA EL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess KAGA EL LTD upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

KAGA EL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for KAGA EL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as KAGA EL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use KAGA EL historical prices to predict the future KAGA EL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.4416.8018.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8414.2018.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8516.2117.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.2216.9617.71
Details

KAGA EL LTD Backtested Returns

At this point, KAGA EL is very steady. KAGA EL LTD has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0432, which conveys that the company had a 0.0432 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for KAGA EL, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please verify KAGA EL's Mean Deviation of 1.08, downside deviation of 1.33, and Semi Deviation of 1.11 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0585%. KAGA EL has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.2, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning KAGA EL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, KAGA EL is likely to outperform the market. KAGA EL LTD at this time secures a risk of 1.36%. Please verify KAGA EL LTD downside deviation, information ratio, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if KAGA EL LTD will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.65  

Very good reverse predictability

KAGA EL LTD has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between KAGA EL time series from 12th of March 2023 to 6th of March 2024 and 6th of March 2024 to 1st of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of KAGA EL LTD price movement. The serial correlation of -0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current KAGA EL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.98

KAGA EL LTD lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is KAGA EL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting KAGA EL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of KAGA EL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that KAGA EL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

KAGA EL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If KAGA EL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if KAGA EL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in KAGA EL stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

KAGA EL Lagged Returns

When evaluating KAGA EL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of KAGA EL stock have on its future price. KAGA EL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, KAGA EL autocorrelation shows the relationship between KAGA EL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in KAGA EL LTD.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in KAGA Stock

KAGA EL financial ratios help investors to determine whether KAGA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KAGA with respect to the benefits of owning KAGA EL security.