KAGA EL (Germany) Price Prediction
| 9V2 Stock | EUR 16.80 0.10 0.60% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KAGA EL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KAGA EL LTD from the perspective of KAGA EL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KAGA EL to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KAGA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
KAGA EL after-hype prediction price | EUR 16.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KAGA |
KAGA EL After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KAGA EL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KAGA EL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KAGA EL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KAGA EL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KAGA EL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KAGA EL's historical news coverage. KAGA EL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.44 and 18.16, respectively. We have considered KAGA EL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KAGA EL is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KAGA EL LTD is based on 3 months time horizon.
KAGA EL Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KAGA EL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KAGA EL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KAGA EL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.80 | 16.80 | 0.00 |
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KAGA EL Hype Timeline
KAGA EL LTD is presently traded for 16.80on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KAGA is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on KAGA EL is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.80. About 24.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.23. KAGA EL LTD last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. The entity had 1:2 split on the 27th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out KAGA EL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.KAGA EL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KAGA EL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KAGA EL's future price movements. Getting to know how KAGA EL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KAGA EL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UUEC | United Utilities Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.72 | (2.59) | 8.75 | |
| 751 | Algonquin Power Utilities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | 0.03 | 2.90 | (2.43) | 7.60 | |
| CPW | Check Point Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.22 | 2.72 | (1.78) | 8.97 | |
| ZYR1 | CORNISH METALS INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.50 | 0.02 | 7.43 | (6.99) | 19.72 | |
| SXC | Sunny Optical Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.22 | 0.19 | 7.17 | (4.34) | 20.25 | |
| CH5 | Chesapeake Utilities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.74 | (1.74) | 5.95 | |
| AVT | AviChina Industry Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.12 | 0.07 | 4.65 | (4.08) | 17.60 |
KAGA EL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KAGA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KAGA using various technical indicators. When you analyze KAGA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About KAGA EL Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of KAGA EL stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KAGA EL LTD, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KAGA EL based on analysis of KAGA EL hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KAGA EL's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KAGA EL's related companies.
Story Coverage note for KAGA EL
The number of cover stories for KAGA EL depends on current market conditions and KAGA EL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KAGA EL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KAGA EL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for KAGA Stock analysis
When running KAGA EL's price analysis, check to measure KAGA EL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KAGA EL is operating at the current time. Most of KAGA EL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KAGA EL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KAGA EL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KAGA EL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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