Thinkon Semiconductor's market value is the price at which a share of Thinkon Semiconductor trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou investors about its performance. Thinkon Semiconductor is trading at 23.45 as of the 1st of January 2025, a 3.93% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 24.41. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Thinkon Semiconductor over a given investment horizon. Check out Thinkon Semiconductor Correlation, Thinkon Semiconductor Volatility and Thinkon Semiconductor Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Thinkon Semiconductor.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Thinkon Semiconductor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thinkon Semiconductor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thinkon Semiconductor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Thinkon Semiconductor 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thinkon Semiconductor's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thinkon Semiconductor.
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10/03/2024
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In 2 months and 31 days
01/01/2025
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If you would invest 0.00 in Thinkon Semiconductor on October 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thinkon Semiconductor over 90 days. Thinkon Semiconductor is related to or competes with Industrial, China Construction, Bank of China, Agricultural Bank, PetroChina, China Mobile, and Ping An. Thinkon Semiconductor is entity of China More
Thinkon Semiconductor Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thinkon Semiconductor's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thinkon Semiconductor's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thinkon Semiconductor's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thinkon Semiconductor historical prices to predict the future Thinkon Semiconductor's volatility.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thinkon Semiconductor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thinkon Semiconductor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thinkon Semiconductor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thinkon Semiconductor.
Thinkon Semiconductor Backtested Returns
At this point, Thinkon Semiconductor is not too volatile. Thinkon Semiconductor owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.004, which indicates the firm had a 0.004% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Thinkon Semiconductor's Semi Deviation of 3.31, coefficient of variation of 620.99, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1382 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0156%. The entity has a beta of -0.0185, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Thinkon Semiconductor are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Thinkon Semiconductor is likely to outperform the market. Thinkon Semiconductor right now has a risk of 3.89%. Please validate Thinkon Semiconductor mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Thinkon Semiconductor will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation
-0.42
Modest reverse predictability
Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thinkon Semiconductor time series from 3rd of October 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 1st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thinkon Semiconductor price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Thinkon Semiconductor price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.42
Spearman Rank Test
-0.48
Residual Average
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Price Variance
0.76
Thinkon Semiconductor lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Thinkon Semiconductor stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thinkon Semiconductor's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thinkon Semiconductor returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thinkon Semiconductor has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Thinkon Semiconductor regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thinkon Semiconductor stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thinkon Semiconductor stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thinkon Semiconductor stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
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Thinkon Semiconductor Lagged Returns
When evaluating Thinkon Semiconductor's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thinkon Semiconductor stock have on its future price. Thinkon Semiconductor autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thinkon Semiconductor autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thinkon Semiconductor stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou.
Thinkon Semiconductor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thinkon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thinkon with respect to the benefits of owning Thinkon Semiconductor security.