CMC Magnetics (Taiwan) Market Value

2323 Stock  TWD 11.45  0.05  0.44%   
CMC Magnetics' market value is the price at which a share of CMC Magnetics trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CMC Magnetics Corp investors about its performance. CMC Magnetics is selling for under 11.45 as of the 5th of December 2024; that is 0.44% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 11.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CMC Magnetics Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CMC Magnetics over a given investment horizon. Check out CMC Magnetics Correlation, CMC Magnetics Volatility and CMC Magnetics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CMC Magnetics.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CMC Magnetics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CMC Magnetics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CMC Magnetics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CMC Magnetics 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CMC Magnetics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CMC Magnetics.
0.00
11/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/05/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CMC Magnetics on November 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CMC Magnetics Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in CMC Magnetics over 30 days. CMC Magnetics is related to or competes with Ritek Corp, Macronix International, Winbond Electronics, Compal Electronics, and Qisda Corp. CMC Magnetics Corporation manufactures and distributes optical discs worldwide More

CMC Magnetics Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CMC Magnetics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CMC Magnetics Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CMC Magnetics Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CMC Magnetics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CMC Magnetics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CMC Magnetics historical prices to predict the future CMC Magnetics' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0811.4512.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2911.6613.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8911.2612.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2911.4911.68
Details

CMC Magnetics Corp Backtested Returns

CMC Magnetics Corp retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0437, which signifies that the company had a -0.0437% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. CMC Magnetics exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm CMC Magnetics' variance of 2.48, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.56) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.38, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, CMC Magnetics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CMC Magnetics is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, CMC Magnetics Corp has a negative expected return of -0.0597%. Please make sure to confirm CMC Magnetics' mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if CMC Magnetics Corp performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

CMC Magnetics Corp has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CMC Magnetics time series from 5th of November 2024 to 20th of November 2024 and 20th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CMC Magnetics Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current CMC Magnetics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

CMC Magnetics Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CMC Magnetics stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CMC Magnetics' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CMC Magnetics returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CMC Magnetics has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CMC Magnetics regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CMC Magnetics stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CMC Magnetics stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CMC Magnetics stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CMC Magnetics Lagged Returns

When evaluating CMC Magnetics' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CMC Magnetics stock have on its future price. CMC Magnetics autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CMC Magnetics autocorrelation shows the relationship between CMC Magnetics stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CMC Magnetics Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for CMC Stock Analysis

When running CMC Magnetics' price analysis, check to measure CMC Magnetics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CMC Magnetics is operating at the current time. Most of CMC Magnetics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CMC Magnetics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CMC Magnetics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CMC Magnetics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.