Henan Shenhuo (China) Market Value

000933 Stock   17.28  0.22  1.26%   
Henan Shenhuo's market value is the price at which a share of Henan Shenhuo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Henan Shenhuo Coal investors about its performance. Henan Shenhuo is trading at 17.28 as of the 18th of December 2024, a 1.26 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 17.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Henan Shenhuo Coal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Henan Shenhuo over a given investment horizon. Check out Henan Shenhuo Correlation, Henan Shenhuo Volatility and Henan Shenhuo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Henan Shenhuo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Henan Shenhuo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Henan Shenhuo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Henan Shenhuo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Henan Shenhuo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Henan Shenhuo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Henan Shenhuo.
0.00
06/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Henan Shenhuo on June 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Henan Shenhuo Coal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Henan Shenhuo over 180 days. Henan Shenhuo is related to or competes with TongFu Microelectronics, Dongguan Tarry, Hengerda New, Jiangyin Jianghua, Bomin Electronics, Sinosteel Luonai, and Sunwoda Electronic. Henan Shenhuo is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Henan Shenhuo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Henan Shenhuo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Henan Shenhuo Coal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Henan Shenhuo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Henan Shenhuo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Henan Shenhuo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Henan Shenhuo historical prices to predict the future Henan Shenhuo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.9717.3220.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0014.3517.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.3818.7322.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.170.190.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Henan Shenhuo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Henan Shenhuo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Henan Shenhuo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Henan Shenhuo Coal.

Henan Shenhuo Coal Backtested Returns

Henan Shenhuo appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Henan Shenhuo Coal holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0898, which attests that the entity had a 0.0898% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Henan Shenhuo Coal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Henan Shenhuo's Downside Deviation of 3.33, risk adjusted performance of 0.1016, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.2 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Henan Shenhuo holds a performance score of 7. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.35, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Henan Shenhuo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Henan Shenhuo is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Henan Shenhuo's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Henan Shenhuo's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.09  

Virtually no predictability

Henan Shenhuo Coal has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Henan Shenhuo time series from 21st of June 2024 to 19th of September 2024 and 19th of September 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Henan Shenhuo Coal price movement. The serial correlation of 0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Henan Shenhuo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.09
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.55

Henan Shenhuo Coal lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Henan Shenhuo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Henan Shenhuo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Henan Shenhuo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Henan Shenhuo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Henan Shenhuo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Henan Shenhuo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Henan Shenhuo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Henan Shenhuo stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Henan Shenhuo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Henan Shenhuo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Henan Shenhuo stock have on its future price. Henan Shenhuo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Henan Shenhuo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Henan Shenhuo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Henan Shenhuo Coal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Henan Stock

Henan Shenhuo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Henan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Henan with respect to the benefits of owning Henan Shenhuo security.