Henan Shenhuo (China) Price Prediction

000933 Stock   17.28  0.22  1.26%   
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Henan Shenhuo's share price is approaching 41. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Henan Shenhuo, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Henan Shenhuo's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Henan Shenhuo Coal, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Henan Shenhuo's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.14
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.67
Wall Street Target Price
17
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.06
Using Henan Shenhuo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Henan Shenhuo Coal from the perspective of Henan Shenhuo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Henan Shenhuo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Henan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Henan Shenhuo after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 17.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Henan Shenhuo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0014.3517.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.3818.7322.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.170.190.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Henan Shenhuo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Henan Shenhuo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Henan Shenhuo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Henan Shenhuo Coal.

Henan Shenhuo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Henan Shenhuo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Henan Shenhuo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Henan Shenhuo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Henan Shenhuo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Henan Shenhuo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Henan Shenhuo's historical news coverage. Henan Shenhuo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.97 and 20.67, respectively. We have considered Henan Shenhuo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.28
17.32
After-hype Price
20.67
Upside
Henan Shenhuo is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Henan Shenhuo Coal is based on 3 months time horizon.

Henan Shenhuo Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Henan Shenhuo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Henan Shenhuo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Henan Shenhuo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
3.35
  0.04 
  0.07 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.28
17.32
0.23 
2,577  
Notes

Henan Shenhuo Hype Timeline

Henan Shenhuo Coal is presently traded for 17.28on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Henan is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Henan Shenhuo is about 1502.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.21. The company reported the revenue of 37.63 B. Net Income was 5.91 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.35 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Henan Shenhuo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Henan Shenhuo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Henan Shenhuo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Henan Shenhuo's future price movements. Getting to know how Henan Shenhuo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Henan Shenhuo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601899Zijin Mining Group 0.12 2 per month 2.10  0.01  3.35 (3.39) 10.10 
600309Wanhua Chemical Group(2.40)3 per month 2.26  0.02  3.92 (3.47) 16.38 
600019Baoshan Iron Steel(0.07)3 per month 2.09  0.09  4.80 (3.10) 17.37 
600547Shandong Gold Mining(0.35)4 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.59 (3.22) 12.15 
002493Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 0.08 1 per month 2.02  0.04  4.12 (2.86) 15.52 
600010Inner Mongolia BaoTou(0.03)2 per month 2.37  0.14  7.46 (4.00) 19.48 
002460Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium 0.00 0 per month 3.18  0.12  9.99 (6.14) 20.00 
603260Hoshine Silicon Ind 0.77 1 per month 2.51  0.07  4.90 (3.79) 17.89 
600160Zhejiang Juhua Co(0.24)1 per month 1.87  0.20  6.09 (3.85) 15.23 
000807Yunnan Aluminium Co(0.11)1 per month 2.20  0.12  5.75 (3.27) 15.53 

Henan Shenhuo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Henan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Henan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Henan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Henan Shenhuo Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Henan Shenhuo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Henan Shenhuo Coal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Henan Shenhuo based on analysis of Henan Shenhuo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Henan Shenhuo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Henan Shenhuo's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Henan Shenhuo

The number of cover stories for Henan Shenhuo depends on current market conditions and Henan Shenhuo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Henan Shenhuo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Henan Shenhuo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Henan Shenhuo Short Properties

Henan Shenhuo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Henan Shenhuo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Henan Shenhuo Coal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Henan Shenhuo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Henan Shenhuo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments14 B

Complementary Tools for Henan Stock analysis

When running Henan Shenhuo's price analysis, check to measure Henan Shenhuo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Henan Shenhuo is operating at the current time. Most of Henan Shenhuo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Henan Shenhuo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Henan Shenhuo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Henan Shenhuo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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