Is Papa Johns Stock a Good Investment?

Papa Johns Investment Advice

  PZZA
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Papa Johns International stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Papa Johns International. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Papa Johns in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Papa Johns' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Papa Johns' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Papa Johns navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space and any emerging trends that could impact Papa Johns' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Papa Johns' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Papa Johns is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Papa Johns pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Papa Johns' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Papa Johns International stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Papa Johns International is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
Papa Johns advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Papa Johns is not overpriced, please check all Papa Johns International fundamentals, including its ebitda, price to earnings to growth, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and total asset . Given that Papa Johns International has a price to sales of 0.65 X, we recommend you to check out Papa Johns International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Papa Johns Stock

Researching Papa Johns' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.04. Papa Johns International last dividend was issued on the 10th of February 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 30th of December 2013.
To determine if Papa Johns is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Papa Johns' research are outlined below:
Papa Johns had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Papa Johns International currently holds 229.48 M in liabilities. Papa Johns International has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Papa Johns' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: 41 percent earnings growth over 3 years has not materialized into gains for Papa Johns International shareholders over that period

Papa Johns Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

888.95 Million

Papa Johns uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Papa Johns International. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Papa Johns' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
29th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
29th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Papa Johns' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Papa Johns' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2003-10-28
2003-09-300.10.09-0.0110 
1998-07-28
1998-06-300.070.080.0114 
1998-04-28
1998-03-310.060.070.0116 
1997-07-29
1997-06-300.050.060.0120 
2019-02-26
2018-12-310.170.15-0.0211 
2011-11-01
2011-09-300.20.220.0210 
2010-11-03
2010-09-300.180.16-0.0211 
2010-02-23
2009-12-310.190.210.0210 

Know Papa Johns' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Papa Johns is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Papa Johns International backward and forwards among themselves. Papa Johns' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Papa Johns' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-12-31
1.1 M
Westwood Holdings Group Inc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
758.1 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
591.9 K
Segall Bryant & Hamill2024-12-31
576.3 K
Boothbay Fund Management, Llc2024-12-31
540.7 K
Owl Creek Asset Management Lp2024-12-31
520.4 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-12-31
485.2 K
1832 Asset Management L.p2024-12-31
449.9 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
5.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
3.8 M
Note, although Papa Johns' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Papa Johns' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.33 B.

Market Cap

459.35 Million

Papa Johns' profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.30  0.29 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.13 
Return On Equity(0.16)(0.15)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.04 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.08 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.08.
Determining Papa Johns' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Papa Johns is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Papa Johns' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Papa Johns' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Papa Johns' Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Please note, the presentation of Papa Johns' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Papa Johns' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Papa Johns' management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Papa Johns' management efficiency

Papa Johns International has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1382 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1382 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Papa Johns' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Papa Johns manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, Papa Johns' Return On Tangible Assets are projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Assets is expected to grow to 0.13, whereas Return On Capital Employed is forecasted to decline to 0.29. At present, Papa Johns' Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Assets is expected to grow to about 44 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 488.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(15.46)(14.69)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(18.12)(17.22)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 18.59  16.82 
Price Book Value Ratio(4.92)(4.68)
Enterprise Value Multiple 18.59  16.82 
Price Fair Value(4.92)(4.68)
Enterprise Value388.4 M455.4 M
Evaluating the management effectiveness of Papa Johns allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The Papa Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0451
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0451
Forward Dividend Rate
1.84
Beta
1.156

Basic technical analysis of Papa Stock

As of the 26th of March, Papa Johns holds the Coefficient Of Variation of 3705.23, risk adjusted performance of 0.0307, and Semi Deviation of 3.1. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Papa Johns, as well as the relationship between them.

Papa Johns' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Papa Johns insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Papa Johns' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Papa Johns insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Papa Johns' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Papa Johns issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Papa Johns International uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Papa bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Papa Johns International has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Papa Johns' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Papa Johns' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Papa Johns' intraday indicators

Papa Johns intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Papa Johns stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Papa Johns Corporate Filings

8K
12th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
5th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
24th of February 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
14th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
Papa Johns time-series forecasting models is one of many Papa Johns' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Papa Johns' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Papa Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Papa Johns that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Papa media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Papa internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Papa data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Papa Johns news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Papa Johns relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Papa Johns' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Papa Johns alpha.

Papa Johns Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Papa Johns can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Papa Johns International Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Papa Johns' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Papa. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Papa can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Papa Johns International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Papa Johns' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Papa Johns and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Papa Johns news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Papa Johns.

Papa Johns Maximum Pain Price Across May 16th 2025 Option Contracts

Papa Johns' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Papa Johns close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Papa Johns' options.

Papa Johns Corporate Management

Christopher CollinsVP TreasuryProfile
Madeline ChadwickChief OfficerProfile
Amanda ClarkChief InternationalProfile
Joe SieveChief OfficerProfile
Clara PassafiumeCorporate SecretaryProfile
Steven CokePrincipal Financial Officer, Principal Accounting OfficerProfile
When determining whether Papa Johns International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Papa Johns' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Papa Johns International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Papa Johns International Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Papa Johns International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Papa Johns. If investors know Papa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Papa Johns listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.44)
Dividend Share
1.84
Earnings Share
2.54
Revenue Per Share
62.945
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Papa Johns International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Papa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Papa Johns' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Papa Johns' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Papa Johns' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Papa Johns' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Papa Johns' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Papa Johns is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Papa Johns' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.