Papa Johns International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PZZA Stock  USD 43.36  0.34  0.79%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Papa Johns International is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Papa Johns buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PZZA positions.
  
Check out Papa Johns Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Papa and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Papa Johns International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Papa Johns Buy or Sell Advice

The Papa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Papa Johns International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Papa Johns International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Papa Johns' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Papa JohnsBuy Papa Johns
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Papa Johns International has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.02), Total Risk Alpha of 0.3951 and Treynor Ratio of (0.13)
Papa Johns advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Papa Johns is not overpriced, please check all Papa Johns International fundamentals, including its ebitda, price to earnings to growth, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and total asset . Given that Papa Johns International has a price to sales of 0.69 X, we recommend you to check out Papa Johns International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Papa Johns Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Papa Johns had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Papa Johns International currently holds 229.48 M in liabilities. Papa Johns International has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Papa Johns' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from fool.com: Acquisition by Miller John C of tradable shares of Papa Johns at 71.81 subject to Rule 16b-3

Papa Johns Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Papa Johns' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Papa Johns' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Papa Johns daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Papa Johns International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Papa Johns returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Papa Johns.
Mean Return
-0.09
Value At Risk
-5.45
Potential Upside
5.40
Standard Deviation
3.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Papa Johns historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Papa Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-12-31
1.1 M
Westwood Holdings Group Inc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
758.1 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
591.9 K
Segall Bryant & Hamill2024-12-31
576.3 K
Boothbay Fund Management, Llc2024-12-31
540.7 K
Owl Creek Asset Management Lp2024-12-31
520.4 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-12-31
485.2 K
1832 Asset Management L.p2024-12-31
449.9 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
5.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
3.8 M
Note, although Papa Johns' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Papa Johns Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(2.7M)(4.7M)(7.5M)5.4M851K893.6K
Change In Cash102.3M(59.6M)(23.2M)(6.8M)(2.6M)(2.5M)
Free Cash Flow150.8M116.1M39.4M116.4M34.1M53.2M
Depreciation49.7M48.8M52.0M64.1M69.4M36.3M
Other Non Cash Items(2.5M)(271K)33.7M6.2M(19.2M)(18.2M)
Dividends Paid43.0M46.8M54.8M58.5M60.6M33.9M
Capital Expenditures35.7M68.6M78.4M76.6M72.5M44.7M
Net Income60.6M125.0M69.3M82.1M84.2M54.3M
End Period Cash Flow130.2M70.6M47.4M40.6M38.0M30.4M
Investments(5.4M)2.4M(62.8M)(90.2M)(17.3M)(18.2M)
Change Receivables(5.3M)(22.4M)4.0M(29.2M)(26.3M)(24.9M)
Change To Netincome13.1M4.6M25.3M54.8M63.1M66.2M
Net Borrowings(255.0M)(20M)140M115M132.3M138.9M

Papa Johns Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Papa Johns or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Papa Johns' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Papa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
3.89
Ir
Information ratio 0

Papa Johns Volatility Alert

Papa Johns International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.59 and kurtosis of 6.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Papa Johns' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Papa Johns' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Papa Johns Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Papa Johns' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Papa Johns' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Papa Johns and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Papa Johns or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Papa Johns' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Papa Johns by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Papa Johns to competition
FundamentalsPapa JohnsPeer Average
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.34 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding32.66 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.74 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.26 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.51 M4.71 M
Price To Earning42.66 X28.72 X
Price To Sales0.69 X11.42 X
Revenue2.06 B9.43 B
Gross Profit416.63 M27.38 B
EBITDA226.11 M3.9 B
Net Income84.2 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents36.62 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt229.48 M5.32 B
Current Ratio0.91 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(13.16) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations106.63 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.92 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.54 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.17 X4.89 X
Target Price56.31
Number Of Employees11.4 K18.84 K
Beta1.16-0.15
Market Capitalization1.42 B19.03 B
Total Asset888.95 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings241.72 M9.33 B
Working Capital(47.36 M)1.48 B
Current Asset152.59 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities132.94 M7.9 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Note: Acquisition by Medina Sonya E of 114 shares of Papa Johns at 47.72 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Papa Johns Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Papa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Papa Johns Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Papa Johns International? Buying financial instruments such as Papa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Papa Johns in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Non-Metallic and Industrial Metal Mining Thematic Idea Now

Non-Metallic and Industrial Metal Mining
Non-Metallic and Industrial Metal Mining Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Non-Metallic and Industrial Metal Mining theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Non-Metallic and Industrial Metal Mining Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Papa Johns International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Papa Johns' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Papa Johns International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Papa Johns International Stock:
Check out Papa Johns Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Papa Johns. If investors know Papa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Papa Johns listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.44)
Dividend Share
1.84
Earnings Share
2.54
Revenue Per Share
62.945
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Papa Johns International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Papa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Papa Johns' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Papa Johns' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Papa Johns' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Papa Johns' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Papa Johns' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Papa Johns is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Papa Johns' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.