Is National Fuel Stock a Good Investment?
National Fuel Investment Advice | NFG |
- Examine National Fuel's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research National Fuel's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help National Fuel navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Gas Utilities space and any emerging trends that could impact National Fuel's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare National Fuel's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how National Fuel is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if National Fuel pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about National Fuel's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in National Fuel Gas stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if National Fuel Gas is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Strong | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Examine National Fuel Stock
Researching National Fuel's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of National Fuel was now reported as 30.38. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.05. National Fuel Gas recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of March 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 10th of September 2001.
To determine if National Fuel is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding National Fuel's research are outlined below:
| National Fuel Gas has 2.78 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.52, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Fuel Gas has a current ratio of 0.52, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 78.0% of National Fuel shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: How to Invest During a Correction |
National Fuel Quarterly Cost Of Revenue |
|
National Fuel uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in National Fuel Gas. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to National Fuel's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 7th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 1st of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 6th of November 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact National Fuel's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises National Fuel's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2002-10-24 | 2002-09-30 | 0.06 | 0.05 | -0.01 | 16 | ||
2000-07-27 | 2000-06-30 | 0.2 | 0.18 | -0.02 | 10 | ||
2004-10-28 | 2004-09-30 | 0.12 | 0.09 | -0.03 | 25 | ||
2001-10-25 | 2001-09-30 | 0.09 | 0.06 | -0.03 | 33 | ||
1999-10-27 | 1999-09-30 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 100 | ||
1997-07-30 | 1997-06-30 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.03 | 13 | ||
2020-11-05 | 2020-09-30 | 0.36 | 0.4 | 0.04 | 11 | ||
2012-11-01 | 2012-09-30 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.04 | 10 |
Know National Fuel's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as National Fuel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Fuel Gas backward and forwards among themselves. National Fuel's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase National Fuel's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Knights Of Columbus Asset Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 214.1 K |
National Fuel's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 7.08 B.Market Cap |
|
National Fuel's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.03 | 0.03 |
Determining National Fuel's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if National Fuel is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures National Fuel's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of National Fuel's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate National Fuel's management efficiency
National Fuel Gas has Return on Asset of 0.0569 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0569 of profit. This is way below average. National Fuel's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well National Fuel manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to 0.01. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to 0.03. At this time, National Fuel's Other Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The National Fuel's current Net Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to about 2.7 B, while Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease to roughly 4.9 B.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 27.93 | 15.22 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 27.87 | 15.11 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 13.98 | 14.68 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 1.76 | 1.69 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 13.98 | 14.68 | |
| Price Fair Value | 1.76 | 1.69 | |
| Enterprise Value | 7.5 B | 4.1 B |
The strategic decisions made by National Fuel management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Basic technical analysis of National Stock
As of the 24th of March, National Fuel secures the Downside Deviation of 1.03, risk adjusted performance of 0.3018, and Mean Deviation of 0.8933. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of National Fuel Gas, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify National Fuel Gas information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and expected short fall to decide if National Fuel Gas is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 78.17 per share. Given that National Fuel Gas has jensen alpha of 0.409, we recommend you to check National Fuel's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.National Fuel's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific National Fuel insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on National Fuel's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases National Fuel insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
National Fuel's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
National Fuel issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. National Fuel Gas uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most National bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when National Fuel Gas has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Dana 575 percent Corp BondUS235822AB96 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4875 Corp BondUS55336VAJ98 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View | |
| US63618EAR27 Corp BondUS63618EAR27 | View | |
| NATIONAL FUEL GAS Corp BondUS636180BM22 | View | |
| US636180BN05 Corp BondUS636180BN05 | View | |
| NATIONAL FUEL GAS Corp BondUS636180BP52 | View |
Understand National Fuel's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing National Fuel's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3018 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7947 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8933 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6496 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 296.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.3878 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.409 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4636 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4303 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7847 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.36 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.57) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.422 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.07) | |||
| Skewness | (0.07) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.03) |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3018 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7947 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8933 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6496 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 296.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.3878 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.409 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4636 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4303 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7847 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.36 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.57) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.422 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.07) | |||
| Skewness | (0.07) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.03) |
Consider National Fuel's intraday indicators
National Fuel intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of National Fuel stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
National Fuel Corporate Filings
8K | 17th of March 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F3 | 11th of February 2025 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
| 6th of February 2025 Prospectus used primarily for registering securities for public sale. | ViewVerify | |
| 4th of February 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify |
National Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about National Fuel that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through National media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via National internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of National data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of National Fuel news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of National Fuel relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to National Fuel's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive National Fuel alpha.
National Fuel Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards National Fuel can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
National Fuel Gas Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to National Fuel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in National. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding National can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around National Fuel Gas. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
National Fuel's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for National Fuel and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average National Fuel news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on National Fuel.
National Fuel Maximum Pain Price Across May 16th 2025 Option Contracts
National Fuel's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of National Fuel close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of National Fuel's options.
National Fuel Corporate Directors
| David Anderson | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Thomas Skains | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Jeffrey Shaw | Lead Independent Director | Profile | |
| Natalie Fischer | Director Relations | Profile |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Fuel Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Gas Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Fuel. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Fuel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Dividend Share 2.04 | Earnings Share (0.11) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.046 |
The market value of National Fuel Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Fuel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Fuel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Fuel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Fuel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between National Fuel's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if National Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Fuel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.