National Fuel Gas Stock Performance

NFG Stock  USD 74.08  0.76  1.04%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, National Fuel holds a performance score of 18. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.5, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, National Fuel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding National Fuel is expected to be smaller as well. Please check National Fuel's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether National Fuel's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Fuel Gas are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, National Fuel reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.04
Five Day Return
1.62
Year To Date Return
20.73
Ten Year Return
14.3
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0281
Payout Ratio
0.3916
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.06
Dividend Date
2025-01-15
1
Disposition of 1650 shares by Ronald Tanski of National Fuel subject to Rule 16b-3
11/26/2024
2
Acquisition by Martin Krebs of 644 shares of National Fuel subject to Rule 16b-3
11/29/2024
3
Disposition of 659 shares by Martin Krebs of National Fuel subject to Rule 16b-3
12/02/2024
4
Disposition of 300 shares by Timothy Silverstein of National Fuel subject to Rule 16b-3
12/09/2024
 
National Fuel dividend paid on 31st of December 2024
12/31/2024
5
3 Stocks Trading Near 52-Week High With Room to Rise Further
01/06/2025
 
National Fuel dividend paid on 15th of January 2025
01/15/2025
6
National Fuel Gas Earnings Expected to Grow Should You Buy
01/22/2025
7
Q1 2025 National Fuel Gas Co Earnings Call Transcript
01/31/2025
8
National Fuel Gas First Quarter 2025 Earnings Misses Expectations
02/04/2025
9
Can National Fuel Gas Run Higher on Rising Earnings Estimates
02/07/2025
10
Best Income Stocks To Buy For February 10th
02/10/2025
11
Momentum Alert 3 Underfollowed Stocks on the Verge of a Breakout
02/11/2025
12
C2P Capital Advisory Group LLC d.b.a. Prosperity Capital Advisors Purchases New Stake in National Fuel Gas
02/14/2025
13
National Fuel Gas Companys Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 46 percent Above Its Share Price
02/19/2025
14
Why National Fuel Gas is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Term
02/20/2025
15
National Fuel Gas Hits New 12-Month High Should You Buy
02/25/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow55.4 M
  

National Fuel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,343  in National Fuel Gas on November 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,065  from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 16.79% return on investment over 90 days. National Fuel Gas is generating 0.2749% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.1872% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than National, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon National Fuel is expected to generate 1.61 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.61 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.06 per unit of risk.

National Fuel Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for National Fuel's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as National Fuel Gas, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a National Fuel's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.2315

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Estimated Market Risk

 1.19
  actual daily
10
90% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.27
  actual daily
5
95% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.23
  actual daily
18
82% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average National Fuel is performing at about 18% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of National Fuel by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

National Fuel Fundamentals Growth

National Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of National Fuel, and National Fuel fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on National Stock performance.

About National Fuel Performance

By analyzing National Fuel's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into National Fuel's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if National Fuel has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if National Fuel has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 30.81  42.42 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.03  0.03 

Things to note about National Fuel Gas performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about National Fuel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for National Fuel Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National Fuel Gas has 2.78 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.52, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Fuel Gas has a current ratio of 0.52, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 78.0% of National Fuel shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of January 2025 National Fuel paid $ 0.515 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: National Fuel Gas Hits New 12-Month High Should You Buy
Evaluating National Fuel's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate National Fuel's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing National Fuel's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether National Fuel's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining National Fuel's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating National Fuel's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of National Fuel's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of National Fuel's stock. These opinions can provide insight into National Fuel's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating National Fuel's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact National Fuel's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis

When running National Fuel's price analysis, check to measure National Fuel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Fuel is operating at the current time. Most of National Fuel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Fuel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Fuel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Fuel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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