Is Full Truck Stock a Good Investment?

Full Truck Investment Advice

  YMM
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Full Truck Alliance stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Full Truck Alliance. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Full Truck in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Full Truck's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Full Truck's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Full Truck navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Application Software space and any emerging trends that could impact Full Truck's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Full Truck's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Full Truck is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Full Truck pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Full Truck's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Full Truck Alliance stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Full Truck Alliance is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Buy
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Full Truck Alliance and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Full Truck is not overpriced, please confirm all Full Truck Alliance fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that Full Truck Alliance has a number of shares shorted of 21.32 M, we urge you to verify Full Truck Alliance market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails

Examine Full Truck Stock

Researching Full Truck's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Full Truck was at this time reported as 36.22. The company last dividend was issued on the 7th of April 2025.
To determine if Full Truck is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Full Truck's research are outlined below:
Full Truck Alliance is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd Trading 1.15 percent Higher on Mar 19

Full Truck Quarterly Accounts Payable

28.42 Million

Full Truck uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Full Truck Alliance. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Full Truck's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
13th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
27th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
13th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Full Truck's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Full Truck's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-03-08
2022-12-310.050.060.0120 
2024-03-07
2023-12-310.080.10.0225 
2023-05-22
2023-03-310.050.070.0240 
2022-08-25
2022-06-300.020.040.02100 
2021-11-18
2021-09-30-0.01-0.03-0.02200 
2024-05-21
2024-03-310.070.10.0342 
2023-11-20
2023-09-300.080.110.0337 
2023-08-23
2023-06-300.060.090.0350 

Know Full Truck's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Full Truck is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Full Truck Alliance backward and forwards among themselves. Full Truck's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Full Truck's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Oceanlink Management Ltd.2024-12-31
15.7 M
Aspex Management (hk) Ltd2024-12-31
15.2 M
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2024-12-31
15 M
Alkeon Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
13.9 M
Sc Us (ttgp), Ltd.2024-12-31
13.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
10.6 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
10.2 M
Bamco Inc2024-12-31
10.1 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
9.4 M
Fidelity International Ltd2024-12-31
51.7 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
38.8 M
Note, although Full Truck's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Full Truck's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 13.95 B.

Market Cap

78.11 Billion

Full Truck's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.09 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.09 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.27 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.26 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.26 of operating income.
Determining Full Truck's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Full Truck is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Full Truck's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Full Truck's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Full Truck's management efficiency

Full Truck Alliance has Return on Asset of 0.0384 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0384 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0844 %, implying that it generated $0.0844 on every 100 dollars invested. Full Truck's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Full Truck manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 25th of March 2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.09. Also, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.07. At this time, Full Truck's Fixed Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of March 2025, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.08, while Other Current Assets are likely to drop about 3.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 36.63  38.46 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 33.25  34.91 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 29.99  31.49 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.11  0.10 
Enterprise Value Multiple(0.64)(0.67)
Price Fair Value 0.11  0.10 
Enterprise Value76.5 B72.7 B
Full Truck Alliance has shown resilience through effective management strategies. Our analysis examines how these strategies influence financial outcomes and investor returns which helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Dividend Yield
0.0144
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0144
Forward Dividend Rate
0.19
Beta
0.244

Basic technical analysis of Full Stock

As of the 25th of March, Full Truck shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 717.08, mean deviation of 1.88, and Downside Deviation of 2.32. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model provides you with a way to check existing technical drivers of Full Truck, as well as the relationship between them. Please confirm Full Truck Alliance variance and potential upside to decide if Full Truck Alliance is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 13.34 per share. Given that Full Truck has jensen alpha of 0.412, we urge you to verify Full Truck Alliance's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Full Truck's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Full Truck issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Full Truck Alliance uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Full bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Full Truck Alliance has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Full Truck's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Full Truck's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Full Truck's intraday indicators

Full Truck intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Full Truck stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Full Truck Corporate Filings

6K
5th of March 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
14th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
12th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
13A
3rd of December 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
Full Truck time-series forecasting models is one of many Full Truck's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Full Truck's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Full Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Full Truck that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Full media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Full internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Full data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Full Truck news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Full Truck relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Full Truck's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Full Truck alpha.

Full Truck Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Full Truck can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Full Truck Alliance Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Full Truck's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Full. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Full can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Full Truck Alliance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Full Truck's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Full Truck and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Full Truck news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Full Truck.

Full Truck Maximum Pain Price Across June 20th 2025 Option Contracts

Full Truck's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Full Truck close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Full Truck's options.

Full Truck Corporate Management

Kai ShenChief Risk Officer, General CounselProfile
Wenjian DaiDirectorProfile
Guizhen MaDirectorProfile
Zhenghong WangChief Customer OfficerProfile
Xinzhe LiIndependent DirectorProfile
Weidong JiDirectorProfile
Mao MaoHead RelationsProfile

Already Invested in Full Truck Alliance?

The danger of trading Full Truck Alliance is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Full Truck is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Full Truck. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Full Truck Alliance is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Full Truck Alliance is a strong investment it is important to analyze Full Truck's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Full Truck's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Full Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Full Truck Alliance. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Full Truck. If investors know Full will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Full Truck listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.346
Dividend Share
0.701
Earnings Share
0.41
Revenue Per Share
10.795
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.318
The market value of Full Truck Alliance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Full that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Full Truck's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Full Truck's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Full Truck's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Full Truck's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Full Truck's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Full Truck is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Full Truck's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.