Zto Express Stock Current Valuation
| ZTO Stock | USD 18.98 0.02 0.11% |
Valuation analysis of ZTO Express helps investors to measure ZTO Express' intrinsic value by examining its available valuation indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes and income statement patterns. As of the 3rd of December 2024, Enterprise Value is likely to grow to about 157.9 B, while Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is likely to drop 8.56. Fundamental drivers impacting ZTO Express' valuation include:
Price Book 1.8244 | Enterprise Value 14.7 B | Enterprise Value Ebitda 9.3883 | Price Sales 0.3808 | Forward PE 10.4167 |
Undervalued
Today
Please note that ZTO Express' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of ZTO Express is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing ZTO Express' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since ZTO Express is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of ZTO Stock. However, ZTO Express' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 18.98 | Real 22.91 | Target 38.11 | Hype 18.94 | Naive 18.1 |
The intrinsic value of ZTO Express' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence ZTO Express' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of ZTO Express helps investors to forecast how ZTO stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of ZTO Express more accurately as focusing exclusively on ZTO Express' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: ZTO Express Company Current Valuation Analysis
ZTO Express' Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.
Current ZTO Express Current Valuation | 14.74 B |
Most of ZTO Express' fundamental indicators, such as Current Valuation, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, ZTO Express is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
ZTO Current Valuation Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for ZTO Express is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of ZTO Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Current Valuation. Since ZTO Express' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of ZTO Express' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of ZTO Express' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
ZTO Current Valuation Historical Pattern
Today, most investors in ZTO Express Stock are looking for potential investment opportunities by analyzing not only static indicators but also various ZTO Express' growth ratios. Consistent increases or drops in fundamental ratios usually indicate a possible pattern that can be successfully translated into profits. However, when comparing two companies, knowing each company's current valuation growth rates may not be enough to decide which company is a better investment. That's why investors frequently use a static breakdown of ZTO Express current valuation as a starting point in their analysis.
ZTO Express Current Valuation |
| Timeline |
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.
| Competition |
In accordance with the recently published financial statements, ZTO Express has a Current Valuation of 14.74 B. This is 102.36% higher than that of the Air Freight & Logistics sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The current valuation for all United States stocks is 11.35% higher than that of the company.
ZTO Current Valuation Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses ZTO Express' direct or indirect competition against its Current Valuation to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of ZTO Express could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZTO Express by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.ZTO Express is currently under evaluation in current valuation category among its peers.
ZTO Express Current Valuation Drivers
We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of ZTO Express from analyzing ZTO Express' financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess ZTO Express' ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of ZTO Express' important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Market Cap | 166.7B | 151.4B | 144.5B | 151.2B | 121.7B | 162.2B | |
| Enterprise Value | 162.2B | 139.7B | 139.2B | 152.7B | 124.8B | 157.9B |
ZTO Express ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, ZTO Express' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to ZTO Express' managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
ZTO Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0775 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.21 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.30 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 14.74 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 598.04 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.68 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 29.42 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 20.63 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 27.47 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.82 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.38 X | ||||
| Revenue | 38.42 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 9.04 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 13.85 B | ||||
| Net Income | 8.75 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 11.69 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 18.70 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 15.44 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.25 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 74.31 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 13.36 B | ||||
| Short Ratio | 7.27 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.44 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.21 X | ||||
| Target Price | 195.05 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 23.91 K | ||||
| Beta | -0.088 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 15.38 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 88.47 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 36.3 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 6.89 B | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.05 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 88.47 B |
About ZTO Express Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze ZTO Express's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of ZTO Express using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of ZTO Express based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with ZTO Express
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ZTO Express position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ZTO Express will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against ZTO Stock
| 0.81 | FDX | FedEx | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | HUBG | Hub Group | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | CRGO | Freightos Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | AIRTP | Air T Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | JBHT | JB Hunt Transport Fiscal Year End 16th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ZTO Express could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ZTO Express when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ZTO Express - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ZTO Express to buy it.
The correlation of ZTO Express is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ZTO Express moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ZTO Express moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ZTO Express can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out ZTO Express Piotroski F Score and ZTO Express Altman Z Score analysis. To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. If investors know ZTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZTO Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.028 | Earnings Share 1.44 | Revenue Per Share 50.089 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.101 | Return On Assets 0.0775 |
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.