Is ZTO Express Stock a Good Investment?
ZTO Express Investment Advice | ZTO |
- Examine ZTO Express' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research ZTO Express' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help ZTO Express navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Air Freight & Logistics space and any emerging trends that could impact ZTO Express' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare ZTO Express' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how ZTO Express is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if ZTO Express pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about ZTO Express' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in ZTO Express stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if ZTO Express is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Examine ZTO Express Stock
Researching ZTO Express' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of ZTO Express was at this time reported as 77.71. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4. ZTO Express last dividend was issued on the 10th of April 2025.
To determine if ZTO Express is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding ZTO Express' research are outlined below:
| ZTO Express has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: ZTO Express targets 20 percent to 24 percent parcel volume growth in 2025 amid strong market momentum |
ZTO Express Quarterly Good Will |
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ZTO Express uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in ZTO Express. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to ZTO Express' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 20th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 15th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 20th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact ZTO Express' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises ZTO Express' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020-05-20 | 2020-03-31 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 0.1 | 13 | ||
2018-05-09 | 2018-03-31 | 0.97 | 0.78 | -0.19 | 19 | ||
2021-03-17 | 2020-12-31 | 1.78 | 1.55 | -0.23 | 12 | ||
2018-03-12 | 2017-12-31 | 1.5 | 1.76 | 0.26 | 17 | ||
2019-05-15 | 2019-03-31 | 1.17 | 0.87 | -0.3 | 25 | ||
2022-11-21 | 2022-09-30 | 1.89 | 2.37 | 0.48 | 25 | ||
2022-08-17 | 2022-06-30 | 1.69 | 2.23 | 0.54 | 31 | ||
2024-05-15 | 2024-03-31 | 2.41 | 1.75 | -0.66 | 27 |
ZTO Express Target Price Consensus
ZTO target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. ZTO Express' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 21 | Strong Buy |
Most ZTO analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand ZTO stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of ZTO Express, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationZTO Express Target Price Projection
ZTO Express' current and average target prices are 20.01 and 38.11, respectively. The current price of ZTO Express is the price at which ZTO Express is currently trading. On the other hand, ZTO Express' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
ZTO Express Market Quote on 21st of March 2025
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On ZTO Express Target Price
ZTO Express Analyst Ratings
ZTO Express' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about ZTO Express stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of ZTO Express' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. ZTO Express' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know ZTO Express' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as ZTO Express is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ZTO Express backward and forwards among themselves. ZTO Express' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase ZTO Express' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Serenity Capital Management Pte Ltd. | 2024-12-31 | 5.1 M | Healthcare Of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund | 2024-12-31 | 4.7 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.1 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 3.4 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-12-31 | 2.6 M | Brandes Investment Partners & Co | 2024-12-31 | 2.4 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | Citigroup Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | Harding Loevner L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 14.2 M | Junked Platinum Investment Management Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 12 M |
ZTO Express' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 17.69 B.Market Cap |
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ZTO Express' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.13 | 0.15 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.17 | 0.15 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.10 | 0.11 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | 0.14 |
Determining ZTO Express' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if ZTO Express is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures ZTO Express' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of ZTO Express' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate ZTO Express' management efficiency
ZTO Express has Return on Asset of 0.0814 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0814 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1446 %, implying that it generated $0.1446 on every 100 dollars invested. ZTO Express' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well ZTO Express manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, ZTO Express' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 21st of March 2025, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.11, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.15. At this time, ZTO Express' Fixed Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 21st of March 2025, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.11, while Net Tangible Assets are likely to drop about 26 B.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 65.74 | 34.53 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 54.94 | 57.69 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 10.36 | 9.84 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 2.34 | 2.22 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 10.36 | 9.84 | |
| Price Fair Value | 2.34 | 2.22 | |
| Enterprise Value | 143.6 B | 157.9 B |
Understanding the operational decisions made by ZTO Express management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Basic technical analysis of ZTO Stock
As of the 21st of March, ZTO Express maintains the Mean Deviation of 1.66, downside deviation of 2.2, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1157. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of ZTO Express, as well as the relationship between them.ZTO Express' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
ZTO Express issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. ZTO Express uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most ZTO bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when ZTO Express has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| US98980BAA17 Corp BondUS98980BAA17 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3591 Corp BondUS61744YAK47 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3971 Corp BondUS61744YAL20 | View | |
| Valero Energy Partners Corp BondUS91914JAA07 | View | |
| US98981BAA08 Corp BondUS98981BAA08 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4875 Corp BondUS55336VAJ98 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View |
Understand ZTO Express' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing ZTO Express' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1157 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 4.47 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 805.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Variance | 4.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.156 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2469 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4148 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1443 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 4.46 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.70) | |||
| Skewness | (0.42) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.11) |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1157 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 4.47 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 805.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Variance | 4.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.156 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2469 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4148 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1443 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 4.46 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.70) | |||
| Skewness | (0.42) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.11) |
Consider ZTO Express' intraday indicators
ZTO Express intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of ZTO Express stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
ZTO Express Corporate Filings
6K | 19th of March 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
13A | 6th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
ZTO Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about ZTO Express that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through ZTO media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via ZTO internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of ZTO data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of ZTO Express news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of ZTO Express relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to ZTO Express' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive ZTO Express alpha.
ZTO Express Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards ZTO Express can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
ZTO Express Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to ZTO Express' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ZTO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ZTO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ZTO Express. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
ZTO Express' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for ZTO Express and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average ZTO Express news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on ZTO Express.
ZTO Express Maximum Pain Price Across April 17th 2025 Option Contracts
ZTO Express' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of ZTO Express close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of ZTO Express' options.
ZTO Express Corporate Directors
Already Invested in ZTO Express?
The danger of trading ZTO Express is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of ZTO Express is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than ZTO Express. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile ZTO Express is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether ZTO Express offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ZTO Express' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zto Express Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zto Express Stock: Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. If investors know ZTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZTO Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.086 | Earnings Share 1.48 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.217 | Return On Assets |
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between ZTO Express' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.