Woodside Petroleum Stock Price Prediction

WOPEF Stock  USD 16.57  0.01  0.06%   
As of 4th of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Woodside Petroleum's share price is at 53. This entails that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Woodside Petroleum, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Woodside Petroleum's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Woodside Petroleum and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Woodside Petroleum's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Woodside Petroleum, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Woodside Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Woodside Petroleum from the perspective of Woodside Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Woodside Petroleum to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Woodside because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Woodside Petroleum after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Woodside Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Woodside Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.3513.9619.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9416.5522.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.920.920.92
Details

Woodside Petroleum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Woodside Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Woodside Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Woodside Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Woodside Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Woodside Petroleum's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Woodside Petroleum's historical news coverage. Woodside Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.96 and 22.18, respectively. We have considered Woodside Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.57
16.57
After-hype Price
22.18
Upside
Woodside Petroleum is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Woodside Petroleum is based on 3 months time horizon.

Woodside Petroleum Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Woodside Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Woodside Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Woodside Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
5.61
  0.09 
  0.05 
44 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 44 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.57
16.57
0.00 
1,650  
Notes

Woodside Petroleum Hype Timeline

Woodside Petroleum is at this time traded for 16.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Woodside is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Woodside Petroleum is about 3194.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.62. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.42. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Woodside Petroleum last dividend was issued on the 8th of September 2022. The entity had 838:827 split on the 19th of February 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 44 days.
Check out Woodside Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Woodside Petroleum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Woodside Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Woodside Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Woodside Petroleum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Woodside Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IPXHYInpex Corp ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.66 (3.27) 7.04 
FOLGFFalcon Oil Gas 0.00 0 per month 5.18 (0.01) 16.67 (14.29) 30.95 
PTHRFPantheon Resources Plc 0.00 0 per month 3.81  0.07  9.52 (8.33) 26.44 
WDSWoodside Energy Group 0.21 11 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.34 (3.31) 8.33 
HESHess Corporation 0.97 10 per month 1.40 (0) 2.25 (2.31) 5.16 
CIVICivitas Resources(0.60)9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.47 (3.66) 8.85 
CTRACoterra Energy(0.34)8 per month 1.46  0.01  2.27 (2.32) 8.03 
MURMurphy Oil 0.63 9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.83 (3.67) 9.23 
STRSitio Royalties Corp 0.52 9 per month 1.71  0.02  3.96 (2.62) 8.57 
MROMarathon Oil 0.45 8 per month 1.57 (0.02) 2.64 (3.27) 7.72 
EOGEOG Resources 1.55 10 per month 1.60 (0.03) 1.92 (3.19) 9.26 
FANGDiamondback Energy(0.50)10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.00 (3.91) 9.60 
DVNDevon Energy 0.15 9 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.14 (2.99) 7.08 
RRCRange Resources Corp(0.17)12 per month 1.54  0.08  3.64 (2.66) 8.95 
ARAntero Resources Corp(0.21)11 per month 2.16  0.07  4.91 (2.75) 13.54 
SWNSouthwestern Energy 0.15 9 per month 1.50 (0.01) 2.82 (2.32) 6.63 

Woodside Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Woodside price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Woodside using various technical indicators. When you analyze Woodside charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Woodside Petroleum Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Woodside Petroleum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Woodside Petroleum, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Woodside Petroleum based on analysis of Woodside Petroleum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Woodside Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Woodside Petroleum's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Woodside Petroleum

The number of cover stories for Woodside Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Woodside Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Woodside Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Woodside Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Woodside Petroleum Short Properties

Woodside Petroleum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Woodside Petroleum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Woodside Petroleum often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Woodside Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Woodside Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding969.6 M

Complementary Tools for Woodside Pink Sheet analysis

When running Woodside Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Woodside Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Woodside Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Woodside Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Woodside Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Woodside Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Woodside Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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