CITIGROUP INC Price Prediction
| 17327CAM5 | 88.72 7.28 7.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CITIGROUP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CITIGROUP INC from the perspective of CITIGROUP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CITIGROUP to buy its bond at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CITIGROUP because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell bonds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CITIGROUP after-hype prediction price | $ 88.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as bond price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CITIGROUP |
CITIGROUP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CITIGROUP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CITIGROUP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Bond prices, such as prices of CITIGROUP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CITIGROUP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CITIGROUP's bond value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CITIGROUP's historical news coverage. CITIGROUP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.76 and 89.68, respectively. We have considered CITIGROUP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CITIGROUP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CITIGROUP INC is based on 3 months time horizon.
CITIGROUP Bond Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Corporate Bond such as CITIGROUP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CITIGROUP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Bond price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CITIGROUP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.96 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 17 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 17 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
88.72 | 88.72 | 0.00 |
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CITIGROUP Hype Timeline
CITIGROUP INC is at this time traded for 88.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. CITIGROUP is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on CITIGROUP is about 1429.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.71. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 17 days. Check out CITIGROUP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade CITIGROUP Bond refer to our How to Trade CITIGROUP Bond guide.CITIGROUP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CITIGROUP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CITIGROUP's future price movements. Getting to know how CITIGROUP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CITIGROUP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corp | 0.11 | 12 per month | 1.69 | (0.06) | 2.12 | (2.36) | 8.52 | |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corp | (0.25) | 7 per month | 0.42 | 0.06 | 1.17 | (0.99) | 3.66 | |
| CLILF | CapitaLand Investment Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | (1.29) | 22.86 | |
| BKH | Black Hills | (0.54) | 8 per month | 0.85 | (0.03) | 2.11 | (1.65) | 4.60 | |
| MNTK | Montauk Renewables | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.73 | (4.41) | 25.54 | |
| NR | Newpark Resources | 0.36 | 7 per month | 1.93 | 0.03 | 3.73 | (3.36) | 14.86 | |
| CPAC | Cementos Pacasmayo SAA | (0.05) | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.07 | 2.97 | (2.36) | 8.44 |
CITIGROUP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CITIGROUP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CITIGROUP using various technical indicators. When you analyze CITIGROUP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CITIGROUP Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CITIGROUP stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CITIGROUP INC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CITIGROUP based on analysis of CITIGROUP hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CITIGROUP's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CITIGROUP's related companies.
Story Coverage note for CITIGROUP
The number of cover stories for CITIGROUP depends on current market conditions and CITIGROUP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CITIGROUP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CITIGROUP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in CITIGROUP Bond
CITIGROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether CITIGROUP Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CITIGROUP with respect to the benefits of owning CITIGROUP security.