Mammoth Energy Services Stock Price Prediction
| TUSK Stock | USD 3.48 0.10 2.79% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
26
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.52) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.21) | Wall Street Target Price 4.9 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.38) |
Using Mammoth Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mammoth Energy Services from the perspective of Mammoth Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mammoth Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mammoth because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mammoth Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 3.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mammoth |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mammoth Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mammoth Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mammoth Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mammoth Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mammoth Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mammoth Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mammoth Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mammoth Energy's historical news coverage. Mammoth Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 6.99, respectively. We have considered Mammoth Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mammoth Energy is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mammoth Energy Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mammoth Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mammoth Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mammoth Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mammoth Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 3.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.48 | 3.48 | 0.00 |
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Mammoth Energy Hype Timeline
Mammoth Energy Services is at this time traded for 3.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mammoth is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mammoth Energy is about 88.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.48. About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.62. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mammoth Energy Services recorded a loss per share of 4.12. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Mammoth Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mammoth Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mammoth Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mammoth Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Mammoth Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mammoth Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MATW | Matthews International | 1.09 | 7 per month | 1.87 | 0.05 | 3.20 | (3.75) | 24.86 | |
| GFF | Griffon | (0.43) | 9 per month | 1.72 | 0.10 | 3.14 | (3.11) | 22.84 | |
| SPLP | Steel Partners Holdings | 0.00 | 6 per month | 1.97 | 0.04 | 3.73 | (3.66) | 15.59 | |
| CODI | Compass Diversified Holdings | (0.08) | 7 per month | 1.30 | 0.01 | 2.52 | (1.94) | 9.24 | |
| FIP | FTAI Infrastructure | (0.22) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.65 | (5.52) | 15.65 | |
| HHS | Harte Hanks | 0.22 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.24 | (4.70) | 15.60 | |
| SEB | Seaboard | 45.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 1.27 | (2.51) | 7.23 | |
| CODI-PA | Compass Diversified | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.53) | 0.71 | (0.79) | 2.36 | |
| VMI | Valmont Industries | (1.26) | 13 per month | 1.01 | 0.10 | 2.65 | (2.18) | 12.58 | |
| BBU | Brookfield Business Partners | 0.26 | 10 per month | 1.39 | 0.14 | 3.19 | (2.48) | 8.49 | |
| TRC | Tejon Ranch Co | (1.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.60 | (3.12) | 14.35 |
Mammoth Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mammoth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mammoth using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mammoth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mammoth Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mammoth Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mammoth Energy Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mammoth Energy based on analysis of Mammoth Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mammoth Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mammoth Energy's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.28 | 5.88 | 9.01 | 6.54 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 15.4 | 11.64 | 18.63 | 19.57 |
Story Coverage note for Mammoth Energy
The number of cover stories for Mammoth Energy depends on current market conditions and Mammoth Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mammoth Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mammoth Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mammoth Energy Short Properties
Mammoth Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mammoth Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mammoth Energy Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mammoth Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mammoth Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.6 M |
Check out Mammoth Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mammoth Energy. If investors know Mammoth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mammoth Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.12) | Revenue Per Share 3.905 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.38) | Return On Assets (0.15) | Return On Equity (0.54) |
The market value of Mammoth Energy Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mammoth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mammoth Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mammoth Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mammoth Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mammoth Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mammoth Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mammoth Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mammoth Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.