Tompkins Financial Stock Price Prediction
| TMP Stock | USD 69.38 1.52 2.24% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.864 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.03 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.69 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.15 | Wall Street Target Price 83 |
Using Tompkins Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tompkins Financial from the perspective of Tompkins Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tompkins Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tompkins because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tompkins Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 69.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tompkins |
Tompkins Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tompkins Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tompkins Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tompkins Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Tompkins Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tompkins Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tompkins Financial's historical news coverage. Tompkins Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.88 and 72.62, respectively. We have considered Tompkins Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tompkins Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tompkins Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tompkins Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tompkins Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tompkins Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tompkins Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 3.37 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
69.38 | 69.25 | 0.19 |
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Tompkins Financial Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of December Tompkins Financial is traded for 69.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Tompkins is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 69.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Tompkins Financial is about 2351.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.33. About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.39. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tompkins Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.46. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2024. The firm had 11:10 split on the 3rd of February 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Tompkins Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tompkins Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tompkins Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tompkins Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Tompkins Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tompkins Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | 0.06 | 10 per month | 1.74 | (0.01) | 3.17 | (2.82) | 14.21 | |
| HTBI | HomeTrust Bancshares | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.80 | (3.73) | 18.89 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | (0.48) | 4 per month | 1.62 | 0.06 | 3.69 | (3.49) | 11.07 |
Tompkins Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tompkins price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tompkins using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tompkins charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Tompkins Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tompkins Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tompkins Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tompkins Financial based on analysis of Tompkins Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tompkins Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tompkins Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0266 | 0.0402 | 0.0325 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.02 | 3.99 | 2.9 |
Story Coverage note for Tompkins Financial
The number of cover stories for Tompkins Financial depends on current market conditions and Tompkins Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tompkins Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tompkins Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tompkins Financial Short Properties
Tompkins Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tompkins Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tompkins Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tompkins Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tompkins Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Additional Tools for Tompkins Stock Analysis
When running Tompkins Financial's price analysis, check to measure Tompkins Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tompkins Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Tompkins Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tompkins Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tompkins Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tompkins Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.