Tompkins Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TMP Stock  USD 69.38  1.52  2.24%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Tompkins Financial is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Tompkins Financial within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Tompkins Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Tompkins Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tompkins Financial guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tompkins and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Tompkins Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Tompkins Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Tompkins recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tompkins Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tompkins Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tompkins Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Tompkins FinancialBuy Tompkins Financial
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Tompkins Financial has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0644, Jensen Alpha of 0.1683, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1387, Sortino Ratio of 0.0824 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0788
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendation on Tompkins Financial that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Tompkins Financial. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Tompkins Financial is not overpriced, please validate all Tompkins Financial fundamentals, including its total debt, and the relationship between the revenue and price to earnings to growth . Given that Tompkins Financial has a number of shares shorted of 78.42 K, we advise you to double-check Tompkins Financial market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Tompkins Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Tompkins Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Tompkins Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of November 2024 Tompkins Financial paid $ 0.62 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Tompkins Financial Coverage Initiated at Piper Sandler - MarketBeat

Tompkins Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Tompkins Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tompkins Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tompkins Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tompkins Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tompkins Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tompkins Financial.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-5.01
Potential Upside
4.76
Standard Deviation
3.41
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tompkins Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Tompkins Financial Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash57.6M250.5M(325.4M)14.7M1.7M1.8M
Free Cash Flow95.6M96.8M116.4M95.2M82.2M47.9M
Depreciation11.7M11.7M11.6M11.6M11.7M6.5M
Other Non Cash Items(835K)27.2M4.8M3.2M63.3M66.5M
Dividends Paid30.6M31.4M32.4M33.6M34.5M36.2M
Capital Expenditures6.0M4.6M4.7M8.2M6.8M6.6M
Net Income81.7M77.6M89.3M85.0M9.5M9.0M
End Period Cash Flow138.0M388.5M63.1M77.8M79.5M72.5M
Change To Inventory(78K)(139K)826K(519K)(2.1M)(2.0M)
Investments133.4M(640.1M)(578.8M)(2.2M)107.7M113.1M
Change Receivables78K(12.7M)9.4M(2.3M)(2.0M)(1.9M)
Net Borrowings(439.5M)(387.6M)(143.0M)156.8M141.1M148.2M
Change To Netincome8.6M8.5M6.7M7.6M6.9M8.5M

Tompkins Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tompkins Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tompkins Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tompkins stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.97
σ
Overall volatility
3.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Tompkins Financial Volatility Alert

Tompkins Financial currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tompkins Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tompkins Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Tompkins Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Tompkins Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tompkins Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tompkins Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tompkins Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tompkins Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tompkins Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Tompkins Financial to competition
FundamentalsTompkins FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0995-0.31
Return On Asset0.0085-0.14
Profit Margin0.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.33 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.47 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.39 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders9.21 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions65.86 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted78.42 K4.71 M
Price To Earning13.07 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.39 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.49 X11.42 X
Revenue297.36 M9.43 B
Gross Profit305.46 M27.38 B
EBITDA12 M3.9 B
Net Income9.51 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents80.39 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.55 X5.01 X
Total Debt602.1 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity10.05 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share50.35 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations89 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.24 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.64 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.46 X4.89 X
Target Price83.0
Number Of Employees94218.84 K
Beta0.66-0.15
Market Capitalization998.63 M19.03 B
Total Asset7.82 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings501.51 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return2.58 %
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Tompkins Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tompkins . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Tompkins Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Tompkins Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Tompkins Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Corona Opportunity
Corona Opportunity Theme
Firms that are involved in some capacity in making products or providing services to the public to buttle the virus directly or indirectly. This also includes some defencive and contrarian stocks and ETFs that are managing to avoid the big market correction coused by coronavirus. The Corona Opportunity theme has 46 constituents at this time.
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Additional Tools for Tompkins Stock Analysis

When running Tompkins Financial's price analysis, check to measure Tompkins Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tompkins Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Tompkins Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tompkins Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tompkins Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tompkins Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.