Tfi International Stock Price Prediction
| TFII Stock | USD 92.34 1.84 2.03% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5119 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.0341 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.7024 | Wall Street Target Price 134.1615 |
Using TFI International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TFI International from the perspective of TFI International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TFI International using TFI International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TFI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TFI International's stock price.
TFI International Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in TFI International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards TFI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of TFI International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 140.7814 | Short Percent 0.0033 | Short Ratio 4.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 958.7 K | 50 Day MA 134.1766 |
TFI International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to TFI International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TFI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TFI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TFI International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TFI International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TFI International.
TFI International Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
TFI International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TFI International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TFI International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TFI International stock will not fluctuate a lot when TFI International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TFI International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TFI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TFI International after-hype prediction price | USD 92.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TFI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TFI International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With TFI International trading at USD 92.34, that is roughly USD 0.0444 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating TFI International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring TFI International options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
TFI |
TFI International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TFI International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TFI International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TFI International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TFI International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TFI International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TFI International's historical news coverage. TFI International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 89.19 and 95.49, respectively. We have considered TFI International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TFI International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TFI International is based on 3 months time horizon.
TFI International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TFI International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TFI International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TFI International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.79 | 3.15 | 1.41 | 0.17 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
92.34 | 92.34 | 0.00 |
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TFI International Hype Timeline
TFI International is at this time traded for 92.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. TFI is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 175.98%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.79%. %. The volatility of related hype on TFI International is about 1444.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 92.17. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of TFI International was at this time reported as 31.67. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.68. TFI International last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out TFI International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TFI International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TFI International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TFI International's future price movements. Getting to know how TFI International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TFI International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ODFL | Old Dominion Freight | 2.39 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.32 | (3.62) | 13.98 | |
| ARCB | ArcBest Corp | 1.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.16 | (4.16) | 9.04 | |
| MRTN | Marten Transport | (1.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.81 | (2.81) | 7.58 | |
| WERN | Werner Enterprises | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.35 | (2.64) | 6.54 | |
| KNX | Knight Transportation | 1.32 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.73 | (2.71) | 7.45 | |
| SAIA | Saia Inc | (3.69) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.62 | (4.71) | 15.36 | |
| ULH | Universal Logistics Holdings | (1.15) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.83 | (5.36) | 23.09 | |
| HTLD | Heartland Express | 0.17 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.49 | (3.02) | 8.33 | |
| SNDR | Schneider National | (0.50) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.32 | (3.05) | 7.70 | |
| CVLG | Covenant Logistics Group, | (0.63) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.11 | (3.35) | 52.43 |
TFI International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TFI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TFI using various technical indicators. When you analyze TFI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TFI International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TFI International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TFI International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TFI International based on analysis of TFI International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TFI International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TFI International's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0109 | 0.0104 | 0.0117 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.01 | 1.55 | 1.36 |
Story Coverage note for TFI International
The number of cover stories for TFI International depends on current market conditions and TFI International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TFI International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TFI International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TFI International Short Properties
TFI International's future price predictability will typically decrease when TFI International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TFI International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TFI International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TFI International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.2 M |
Complementary Tools for TFI Stock analysis
When running TFI International's price analysis, check to measure TFI International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TFI International is operating at the current time. Most of TFI International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TFI International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TFI International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TFI International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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