Community Financial Corp Price Prediction

TCFCDelisted Stock  USD 27.09  0.38  1.38%   
The RSI of Community Financial's otc bb equity price is about 66. This usually implies that the otc bb equity is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Community, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Community Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Community Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Community Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Community Financial Corp from the perspective of Community Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Community Financial to buy its otc bb equity at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Community because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell otc bb equitys at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Community Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6823.6829.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.6425.6425.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.8227.3927.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Community Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Community Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Community Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Community Financial Corp.

Community Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Community Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Community Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC BB Equity prices, such as prices of Community Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Community Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Community Financial's otc bb equity value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Community Financial's historical news coverage. Community Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.09 and 27.09, respectively. We have considered Community Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.09
27.09
After-hype Price
27.09
Upside
Community Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Community Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Community Financial OTC BB Equity Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Community Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Community Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Community Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
14 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.09
27.09
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Community Financial Hype Timeline

Community Financial Corp is at this time traded for 27.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Community is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Community Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.09. About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.25. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Community Financial Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.28. The firm last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2023. Community Financial had 3:2 split on the 29th of November 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Community Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Community Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Community Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Community Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Community Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
SMBCSouthern Missouri Bancorp 3.99 7 per month 1.92  0.03  3.46 (3.11) 19.64 
CIZNCitizens Holding 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.00 (2.14) 6.16 
WNEBWestern New England(0.04)2 per month 1.02  0.06  2.93 (1.81) 9.25 
FCCOFirst Community(0.03)8 per month 1.35  0.09  2.69 (2.18) 14.28 
SBFGSB Financial Group(0.10)8 per month 2.75  0.06  3.73 (4.07) 11.96 
FSBWFS Bancorp(0.80)7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.70 (3.22) 16.14 
CHMGChemung Financial Corp 0.76 9 per month 1.16  0.02  2.06 (2.03) 11.96 
WMPNWilliam Penn Bancorp(0.39)4 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.23 (1.97) 9.36 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 21 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.15  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp(0.43)6 per month 2.48  0  4.70 (4.49) 17.43 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.13  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
VBFCVillage Bank and 0.50 6 per month 0.00  0.15  1.27 (0.66) 44.13 
PMHGPrime Meridian Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.78  0.21  3.13 (0.88) 8.69 
PBHCPathfinder Bancorp 0.57 8 per month 1.95  0.06  3.13 (3.34) 22.14 
IROQIF Bancorp 0.25 7 per month 1.89  0.12  3.63 (3.42) 13.04 
CBANColony Bankcorp 0.01 10 per month 1.42  0.06  2.28 (2.34) 18.44 
OPOFOld Point Financial(0.04)3 per month 1.28  0.27  3.39 (1.47) 11.44 

Community Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Community price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Community using various technical indicators. When you analyze Community charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Community Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Community Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Community Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Community Financial based on analysis of Community Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Community Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Community Financial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Community Financial

The number of cover stories for Community Financial depends on current market conditions and Community Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Community Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Community Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Community Financial Short Properties

Community Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Community Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Community Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Community Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Community Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments486.1 M
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Community OTC BB Equity

If you are still planning to invest in Community Financial Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Community Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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