Sma Solar Technology Stock Price Prediction

SMTGF Stock  USD 14.50  1.77  13.90%   
As of 15th of December 2024 the relative strength index (rsi) of SMA Solar's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

5

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SMA Solar's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SMA Solar and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SMA Solar's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SMA Solar Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SMA Solar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SMA Solar Technology from the perspective of SMA Solar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SMA Solar to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SMA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SMA Solar after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out SMA Solar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6413.7217.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6515.7319.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5614.1716.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SMA Solar. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SMA Solar's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SMA Solar's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SMA Solar Technology.

SMA Solar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SMA Solar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SMA Solar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of SMA Solar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SMA Solar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SMA Solar's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SMA Solar's historical news coverage. SMA Solar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.42 and 18.58, respectively. We have considered SMA Solar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.50
14.50
After-hype Price
18.58
Upside
SMA Solar is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SMA Solar Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

SMA Solar Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SMA Solar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SMA Solar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SMA Solar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.66 
4.05
 0.00  
  0.37 
0 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.50
14.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

SMA Solar Hype Timeline

SMA Solar Technology is at this time traded for 14.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.37. SMA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.66%. %. The volatility of related hype on SMA Solar is about 718.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.13. About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of SMA Solar was at this time reported as 12.19. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.84. SMA Solar Technology last dividend was issued on the 2nd of June 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out SMA Solar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

SMA Solar Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SMA Solar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SMA Solar's future price movements. Getting to know how SMA Solar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SMA Solar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
XISHYXinyi Solar Holdings 0.00 0 per month 4.71  0.04  9.92 (8.36) 26.67 
XNYIFXinyi Solar Holdings 0.00 0 per month 2.96  0.05  7.89 (2.44) 46.58 
RUNSunrun Inc 0.22 9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 5.95 (6.79) 38.57 
SMTGYSMA Solar Technology 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 6.47 (6.57) 21.04 
GCPEFGCL Poly Energy Holdings 0.00 0 per month 5.90  0.09  15.38 (12.50) 65.08 
VSOLFThree Sixty Solar 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 17.86 (35.18) 171.92 
SHLSShoals Technologies Group 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 6.27 (6.58) 23.33 
ENPHEnphase Energy(0.35)9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 5.28 (6.55) 23.14 
FSLRFirst Solar(6.53)8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.34 (4.46) 15.90 
CSIQCanadian Solar(0.36)10 per month 6.16 (0.01) 9.74 (8.50) 35.56 
SPWRSunPower(0.16)10 per month 0.00 (0.27) 10.29 (40.08) 75.00 
NOVASunnova Energy International 0.48 11 per month 0.00 (0.12) 12.83 (7.62) 65.87 
SEDGSolarEdge Technologies(0.64)11 per month 0.00 (0.05) 10.72 (10.53) 33.63 

SMA Solar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SMA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SMA using various technical indicators. When you analyze SMA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SMA Solar Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SMA Solar stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SMA Solar Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SMA Solar based on analysis of SMA Solar hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SMA Solar's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SMA Solar's related companies.

Story Coverage note for SMA Solar

The number of cover stories for SMA Solar depends on current market conditions and SMA Solar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SMA Solar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SMA Solar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

SMA Solar Short Properties

SMA Solar's future price predictability will typically decrease when SMA Solar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SMA Solar Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SMA Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SMA Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.7 M

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When running SMA Solar's price analysis, check to measure SMA Solar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SMA Solar is operating at the current time. Most of SMA Solar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SMA Solar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SMA Solar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SMA Solar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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