Canadian Solar Stock Price Prediction

CSIQ Stock  USD 12.41  0.35  2.74%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Canadian Solar's share price is approaching 37 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Canadian Solar, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

37

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Canadian Solar's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Canadian Solar, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Canadian Solar's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.82
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.7025
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.87
Wall Street Target Price
18.9478
Using Canadian Solar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canadian Solar from the perspective of Canadian Solar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Canadian Solar Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Canadian Solar's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Canadian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Canadian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Canadian Solar. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Canadian Solar's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Canadian Solar.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Canadian Solar to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Canadian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Canadian Solar after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Canadian Solar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Canadian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Canadian Solar guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.1718.8624.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.0812.9418.79
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.8439.3843.71
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.26-0.12-0.04
Details

Canadian Solar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Canadian Solar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canadian Solar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Canadian Solar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Canadian Solar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Canadian Solar's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canadian Solar's historical news coverage. Canadian Solar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.72 and 18.44, respectively. We have considered Canadian Solar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.41
12.58
After-hype Price
18.44
Upside
Canadian Solar is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canadian Solar is based on 3 months time horizon.

Canadian Solar Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canadian Solar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canadian Solar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canadian Solar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
5.86
  0.17 
  0.11 
7 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.41
12.58
1.37 
643.96  
Notes

Canadian Solar Hype Timeline

Canadian Solar is currently traded for 12.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Canadian is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 1.37%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Canadian Solar is about 1028.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.52. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.61 B. Net Income was 274.19 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.26 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Canadian Solar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Canadian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Canadian Solar guide.

Canadian Solar Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Canadian Solar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canadian Solar's future price movements. Getting to know how Canadian Solar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canadian Solar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Canadian Solar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Canadian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canadian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canadian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Canadian Solar Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Canadian Solar stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Canadian Solar, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canadian Solar based on analysis of Canadian Solar hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Canadian Solar's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Canadian Solar's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio0.670.64
Dividend Yield9.77E-49.28E-4

Story Coverage note for Canadian Solar

The number of cover stories for Canadian Solar depends on current market conditions and Canadian Solar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Canadian Solar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Canadian Solar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Canadian Solar Short Properties

Canadian Solar's future price predictability will typically decrease when Canadian Solar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Canadian Solar often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Canadian Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canadian Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Additional Tools for Canadian Stock Analysis

When running Canadian Solar's price analysis, check to measure Canadian Solar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canadian Solar is operating at the current time. Most of Canadian Solar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canadian Solar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canadian Solar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canadian Solar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.