Papa Johns International Stock Price Prediction
| PZZA Stock | USD 49.76 0.52 1.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.646 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.57 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2151 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.411 | Wall Street Target Price 60.7293 |
Using Papa Johns hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Papa Johns International from the perspective of Papa Johns response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Papa Johns International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Papa Johns' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Papa. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Papa can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Papa Johns International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Papa Johns' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Papa Johns.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Papa Johns to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Papa because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Papa Johns after-hype prediction price | USD 49.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Papa |
Papa Johns After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Papa Johns at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Papa Johns or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Papa Johns, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Papa Johns Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Papa Johns' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Papa Johns' historical news coverage. Papa Johns' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.20 and 52.18, respectively. We have considered Papa Johns' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Papa Johns is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Papa Johns International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Papa Johns Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Papa Johns is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Papa Johns backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Papa Johns, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.49 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
49.76 | 49.69 | 0.14 |
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Papa Johns Hype Timeline
Papa Johns International is at this time traded for 49.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Papa is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 49.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Papa Johns is about 729.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.80. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.49. Papa Johns International last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 30th of December 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Papa Johns Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Papa Johns Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Papa Johns' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Papa Johns' future price movements. Getting to know how Papa Johns' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Papa Johns may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Papa Johns Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Papa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Papa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Papa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Papa Johns Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Papa Johns stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Papa Johns International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Papa Johns based on analysis of Papa Johns hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Papa Johns's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Papa Johns's related companies. | 2017 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0152 | 0.0233 | 0.021 | 0.0118 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.14 | 1.18 | 1.35 | 1.43 |
Story Coverage note for Papa Johns
The number of cover stories for Papa Johns depends on current market conditions and Papa Johns' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Papa Johns is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Papa Johns' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Papa Johns Short Properties
Papa Johns' future price predictability will typically decrease when Papa Johns' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Papa Johns International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Papa Johns' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Papa Johns' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Papa Stock analysis
When running Papa Johns' price analysis, check to measure Papa Johns' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Papa Johns is operating at the current time. Most of Papa Johns' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Papa Johns' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Papa Johns' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Papa Johns to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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