Perrigo Company Plc Stock Price Prediction
| PRGO Stock | USD 27.26 0.42 1.56% |
Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.665 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.9692 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.1642 | Wall Street Target Price 34.6 |
Using Perrigo Company hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perrigo Company PLC from the perspective of Perrigo Company response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Perrigo Company using Perrigo Company's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Perrigo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Perrigo Company's stock price.
Perrigo Company Short Interest
An investor who is long Perrigo Company may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Perrigo Company and may potentially protect profits, hedge Perrigo Company with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 26.5353 | Short Percent 0.0377 | Short Ratio 2.79 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.3 M | 50 Day MA 25.5014 |
Perrigo Company Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Perrigo Company's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Perrigo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Perrigo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Perrigo Company PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Perrigo Company's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Perrigo Company.
Perrigo Company Implied Volatility | 0.61 |
Perrigo Company's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Perrigo Company PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Perrigo Company's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Perrigo Company stock will not fluctuate a lot when Perrigo Company's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Perrigo Company to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Perrigo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Perrigo Company after-hype prediction price | USD 27.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Perrigo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Perrigo Company PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0381% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Perrigo Company trading at USD 27.26, that is roughly USD 0.0104 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Perrigo Company's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Perrigo Company PLC options at the current volatility level of 0.61%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Perrigo |
Perrigo Company After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Perrigo Company at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perrigo Company or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perrigo Company, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Perrigo Company Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Perrigo Company's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perrigo Company's historical news coverage. Perrigo Company's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.24 and 30.32, respectively. We have considered Perrigo Company's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Perrigo Company is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perrigo Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
Perrigo Company Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perrigo Company is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perrigo Company backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perrigo Company, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 3.04 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.26 | 27.28 | 0.07 |
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Perrigo Company Hype Timeline
Perrigo Company is at this time traded for 27.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Perrigo is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Perrigo Company is about 8106.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.26. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.37 B. Net Loss for the year was (171.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.54 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Perrigo Company Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Perrigo Company Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Perrigo Company's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perrigo Company's future price movements. Getting to know how Perrigo Company's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perrigo Company may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PBH | Prestige Brand Holdings | 1.99 | 8 per month | 1.46 | 0.05 | 2.22 | (2.43) | 17.56 | |
| AMPH | Amphastar P | (2.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 2.13 | (4.24) | 14.01 | |
| DCPH | Deciphera Pharmaceuticals LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PCRX | Pacira BioSciences, | (0.1) | 10 per month | 2.28 | 0.14 | 4.65 | (4.11) | 16.33 | |
| COLL | Collegium Pharmaceutical | (0.29) | 9 per month | 1.88 | 0.04 | 3.47 | (3.02) | 18.67 | |
| PAHC | Phibro Animal Health | 0.73 | 12 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3.84 | (5.81) | 17.81 | |
| ELAN | Elanco Animal Health | (0.17) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.04 | (3.89) | 11.55 | |
| RDY | Dr Reddys Laboratories | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.86 | (2.79) | 10.15 | |
| SSIC | SSIC Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EGRX | Eagle Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ANIP | ANI Pharmaceuticals | 0.54 | 10 per month | 1.93 | 0.11 | 3.04 | (3.49) | 18.94 | |
| KMDA | Kamada | (0.19) | 9 per month | 2.29 | 0.13 | 7.41 | (4.03) | 15.74 |
Perrigo Company Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Perrigo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perrigo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perrigo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Perrigo Company Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Perrigo Company stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Perrigo Company PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Perrigo Company based on analysis of Perrigo Company hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Perrigo Company's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Perrigo Company's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0311 | 0.0344 | 0.0432 | 0.0453 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.03 | 0.94 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
Story Coverage note for Perrigo Company
The number of cover stories for Perrigo Company depends on current market conditions and Perrigo Company's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perrigo Company is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perrigo Company's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Perrigo Company Short Properties
Perrigo Company's future price predictability will typically decrease when Perrigo Company's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perrigo Company PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perrigo Company's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perrigo Company's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 137.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 558.8 M |
Check out Perrigo Company Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perrigo Company. If investors know Perrigo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Perrigo Company listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Dividend Share 1.104 | Earnings Share (1.17) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Perrigo Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Perrigo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Perrigo Company's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Perrigo Company's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Perrigo Company's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Perrigo Company's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Perrigo Company's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Perrigo Company is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Perrigo Company's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.