Prestige Brand Holdings Stock Price Prediction

PBH Stock  USD 87.36  2.28  2.68%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Prestige Brand's share price is above 70 as of 26th of February 2025 indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Prestige, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 70

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Prestige Brand's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Prestige Brand Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Prestige Brand's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.151
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.2971
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.505
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.7863
Wall Street Target Price
89.1429
Using Prestige Brand hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Prestige Brand Holdings from the perspective of Prestige Brand response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Prestige Brand using Prestige Brand's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Prestige using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Prestige Brand's stock price.

Prestige Brand Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Prestige Brand's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Prestige. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Prestige Brand stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
73.7442
Short Percent
0.0605
Short Ratio
7.39
Shares Short Prior Month
2.5 M
50 Day MA
79.9252

Prestige Brand Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Prestige Brand's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Prestige. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Prestige can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Prestige Brand Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Prestige Brand's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Prestige Brand.

Prestige Brand Implied Volatility

    
  0.46  
Prestige Brand's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Prestige Brand Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Prestige Brand's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Prestige Brand stock will not fluctuate a lot when Prestige Brand's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Prestige Brand to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Prestige because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Prestige Brand after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 87.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Prestige contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Prestige Brand Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Prestige Brand trading at USD 87.36, that is roughly USD 0.0251 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Prestige Brand's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Prestige Brand Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Prestige Brand Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.3564.6596.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
83.1485.4487.75
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
77.6185.2994.67
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.961.061.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Prestige Brand. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Prestige Brand's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Prestige Brand's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Prestige Brand Holdings.

Prestige Brand After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Prestige Brand at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Prestige Brand or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Prestige Brand, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Prestige Brand Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Prestige Brand's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Prestige Brand's historical news coverage. Prestige Brand's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.06 and 89.66, respectively. We have considered Prestige Brand's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
87.36
87.36
After-hype Price
89.66
Upside
Prestige Brand is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Prestige Brand Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Prestige Brand Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prestige Brand is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prestige Brand backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prestige Brand, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
2.32
  0.01 
  0.01 
5 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
87.36
87.36
0.00 
1,547  
Notes

Prestige Brand Hype Timeline

On the 26th of February Prestige Brand Holdings is traded for 87.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Prestige is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Prestige Brand is about 2394.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.35. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Prestige Brand was at this time reported as 36.08. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.82. Prestige Brand Holdings last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Prestige Brand Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Prestige Brand Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Prestige Brand's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Prestige Brand's future price movements. Getting to know how Prestige Brand's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Prestige Brand may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EVOEvotec SE ADR 0.05 8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 6.40 (6.97) 19.07 
SUPNSupernus Pharmaceuticals(0.39)7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.35 (2.10) 22.74 
COLLCollegium Pharmaceutical(1.01)9 per month 1.93 (0) 3.07 (3.32) 18.67 
DCPHDeciphera Pharmaceuticals LLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EGRXEagle Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SSICSSIC Old 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RGCRegencell Bioscience Holdings 0.01 10 per month 0.00 (0.1) 8.38 (7.62) 23.06 
AMPHAmphastar P(0.62)7 per month 0.00 (0.26) 2.24 (4.12) 10.11 
PCRXPacira BioSciences, 0.91 9 per month 1.98  0.20  5.32 (3.61) 18.56 
ANIPANI Pharmaceuticals 0.67 11 per month 0.00 (0.01) 2.64 (3.49) 8.50 
PAHCPhibro Animal Health(1.17)11 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.68 (5.07) 17.07 
DLTNFDelta 9 Cannabis 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RAMMFRAMM Pharma Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CVGRFCity View Green 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  5.71  0.00  139.02 
BHHKFBenchmark Botanics 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SPBBFSpeakeasy Cannabis Club 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Prestige Brand Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Prestige price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Prestige using various technical indicators. When you analyze Prestige charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Prestige Brand Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Prestige Brand stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Prestige Brand Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Prestige Brand based on analysis of Prestige Brand hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Prestige Brand's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Prestige Brand's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding54.0657.3451.638.7
PTB Ratio2.162.152.483.7

Story Coverage note for Prestige Brand

The number of cover stories for Prestige Brand depends on current market conditions and Prestige Brand's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Prestige Brand is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Prestige Brand's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Prestige Brand Short Properties

Prestige Brand's future price predictability will typically decrease when Prestige Brand's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Prestige Brand Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Prestige Brand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prestige Brand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments46.5 M

Complementary Tools for Prestige Stock analysis

When running Prestige Brand's price analysis, check to measure Prestige Brand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Prestige Brand is operating at the current time. Most of Prestige Brand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Prestige Brand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Prestige Brand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Prestige Brand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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