Palomar Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| PLMR Stock | USD 131.77 4.38 3.44% |
Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4617 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.6083 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.8261 | Wall Street Target Price 139.3333 |
Using Palomar Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Palomar Holdings from the perspective of Palomar Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Palomar Holdings using Palomar Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Palomar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Palomar Holdings' stock price.
Palomar Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Palomar Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Palomar Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Palomar Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 99.3904 | Short Percent 0.0216 | Short Ratio 2.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 451.1 K | 50 Day MA 114.3632 |
Palomar Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Palomar Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Palomar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Palomar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Palomar Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Palomar Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Palomar Holdings.
Palomar Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.84 |
Palomar Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Palomar Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Palomar Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Palomar Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Palomar Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Palomar Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Palomar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Palomar Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 130.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Palomar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Palomar Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0525% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Palomar Holdings trading at USD 131.77, that is roughly USD 0.0692 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Palomar Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Palomar Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.84%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Palomar |
Palomar Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Palomar Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Palomar Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Palomar Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Palomar Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Palomar Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Palomar Holdings' historical news coverage. Palomar Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 127.78 and 133.42, respectively. We have considered Palomar Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Palomar Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Palomar Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Palomar Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Palomar Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Palomar Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Palomar Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.82 | 1.17 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
131.77 | 130.60 | 0.89 |
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Palomar Holdings Hype Timeline
Palomar Holdings is at this time traded for 131.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Palomar is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 130.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 75.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.89%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Palomar Holdings is about 9123.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 131.78. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Palomar Holdings was at this time reported as 27.48. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.25. Palomar Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Palomar Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Palomar Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Palomar Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Palomar Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Palomar Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Palomar Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HMN | Horace Mann Educators | 0.37 | 10 per month | 1.86 | 0.08 | 2.10 | (3.10) | 9.56 | |
| KMPR | Kemper | (0.68) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 2.12 | (3.04) | 7.37 | |
| RLI | RLI Corp | (0.77) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.83 | (2.00) | 9.92 | |
| GBLI | Global Indemnity PLC | 0.00 | 6 per month | 1.58 | 0.09 | 3.99 | (2.92) | 9.43 | |
| ARGO-PA | Argo Group International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 1.15 | 0.25 | (0.16) | 0.65 | |
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group | (0.95) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.50 | (2.27) | 15.02 | |
| STC | Stewart Information Services | 0.62 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 2.91 | (2.97) | 7.24 | |
| ARGO | Argo Group International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DGICB | Donegal Group B | 1.34 | 6 per month | 2.67 | 0.06 | 4.71 | (5.55) | 12.10 | |
| PRA | ProAssurance | 1.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.56 | (2.98) | 17.29 | |
| CNA | CNA Financial | (0.60) | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.80 | (2.28) | 5.91 |
Palomar Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Palomar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Palomar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Palomar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Palomar Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Palomar Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Palomar Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Palomar Holdings based on analysis of Palomar Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Palomar Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Palomar Holdings's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004245 | 0.003773 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.87 | 7.37 |
Story Coverage note for Palomar Holdings
The number of cover stories for Palomar Holdings depends on current market conditions and Palomar Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Palomar Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Palomar Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Palomar Holdings Short Properties
Palomar Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Palomar Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Palomar Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Palomar Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Palomar Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 149.3 M |
Additional Tools for Palomar Stock Analysis
When running Palomar Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Palomar Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Palomar Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Palomar Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Palomar Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Palomar Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Palomar Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.