Procter Gamble Stock Price Prediction
| PG Stock | USD 162.89 8.13 4.75% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.341 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.601 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.9336 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.3629 | Wall Street Target Price 178.47 |
Using Procter Gamble hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Procter Gamble from the perspective of Procter Gamble response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Procter Gamble using Procter Gamble's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Procter using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Procter Gamble's stock price.
Procter Gamble Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Procter Gamble's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Procter. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Procter Gamble stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 168.4467 | Short Percent 0.0068 | Short Ratio 2.22 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.3 M | 50 Day MA 167.2842 |
Procter Gamble Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Procter Gamble's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Procter. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Procter can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Procter Gamble. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Procter Gamble's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Procter Gamble.
Procter Gamble Implied Volatility | 0.25 |
Procter Gamble's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Procter Gamble stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Procter Gamble's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Procter Gamble stock will not fluctuate a lot when Procter Gamble's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Procter Gamble to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Procter because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Procter Gamble after-hype prediction price | USD 162.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Procter contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Procter Gamble will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0156% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Procter Gamble trading at USD 162.89, that is roughly USD 0.0255 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Procter Gamble's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Procter Gamble options at the current volatility level of 0.25%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Procter |
Procter Gamble After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Procter Gamble at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Procter Gamble or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Procter Gamble, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Procter Gamble Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Procter Gamble's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Procter Gamble's historical news coverage. Procter Gamble's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 161.78 and 164.20, respectively. We have considered Procter Gamble's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Procter Gamble is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Procter Gamble is based on 3 months time horizon.
Procter Gamble Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Procter Gamble is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Procter Gamble backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Procter Gamble, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.21 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
162.89 | 162.99 | 0.06 |
|
Procter Gamble Hype Timeline
As of February 17, 2025 Procter Gamble is listed for 162.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Procter is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 162.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 69.54%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Procter Gamble is about 119.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 162.95. The company generated the yearly revenue of 84.04 B. Reported Net Income was 14.88 B with gross profit of 43.62 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Procter Gamble Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Procter Gamble Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Procter Gamble's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Procter Gamble's future price movements. Getting to know how Procter Gamble's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Procter Gamble may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLX | The Clorox | 0.64 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.43 | (1.89) | 9.28 | |
| CL | Colgate Palmolive | 1.37 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.47 | (1.95) | 8.40 | |
| UL | Unilever PLC ADR | 0.34 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.75 | (1.91) | 8.26 | |
| CHD | Church Dwight | 0.09 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 1.50 | (1.74) | 4.65 | |
| KMB | Kimberly Clark | 1.76 | 7 per month | 1.10 | (0) | 1.34 | (1.85) | 4.63 | |
| EL | Estee Lauder Companies | 2.61 | 9 per month | 3.43 | 0.05 | 4.63 | (2.86) | 21.42 | |
| ELF | ELF Beauty | 3.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.38 | (6.61) | 31.22 | |
| COTY | Coty Inc | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.87 | (4.51) | 13.50 | |
| KVUE | Kenvue Inc | (0.72) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.05 | (2.31) | 7.69 |
Procter Gamble Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Procter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Procter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Procter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Procter Gamble Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Procter Gamble stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Procter Gamble, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Procter Gamble based on analysis of Procter Gamble hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Procter Gamble's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Procter Gamble's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.025 | 0.0242 | 0.0218 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.38 | 4.57 | 4.11 |
Story Coverage note for Procter Gamble
The number of cover stories for Procter Gamble depends on current market conditions and Procter Gamble's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Procter Gamble is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Procter Gamble's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Procter Gamble Short Properties
Procter Gamble's future price predictability will typically decrease when Procter Gamble's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Procter Gamble often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Procter Gamble's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Procter Gamble's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.5 B |
Complementary Tools for Procter Stock analysis
When running Procter Gamble's price analysis, check to measure Procter Gamble's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Procter Gamble is operating at the current time. Most of Procter Gamble's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Procter Gamble's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Procter Gamble's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Procter Gamble to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing | |
| FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities |