Oracle Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 162.89 165.06 200.97 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 183.10 185.27 187.44 Details

35 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 112.70 123.85 137.47 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 1.46 1.48 1.55 Details

Oracle After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Oracle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Oracle Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.44	2.18	1.76	0.14	8 Events / Month	8 Events / Month	In about 8 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
182.70	184.50	0.99	54.36   Notes

Oracle Hype Timeline

Oracle is now traded for 182.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.76, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Oracle is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 184.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 54.36%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.99%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Oracle is about 662.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 182.84. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 52.96 B. Net Income was 10.47 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.39 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Oracle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Oracle Stock please use our How to buy in Oracle Stock guide.

Oracle Related Hype Analysis

Oracle Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Oracle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oracle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oracle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Oracle stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Oracle, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oracle based on analysis of Oracle hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Oracle depends on current market conditions and Oracle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oracle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oracle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Oracle's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oracle's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oracle often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oracle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oracle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Oracle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Oracle Stock please use our How to buy in Oracle Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oracle. If investors know Oracle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Oracle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oracle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Oracle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oracle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oracle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.