Oracle Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ORCL Stock  USD 184.84  2.14  1.17%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Oracle is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Oracle's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Oracle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Oracle Stock please use our How to buy in Oracle Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Oracle and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Oracle. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Oracle Buy or Sell Advice

The Oracle recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Oracle. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Oracle or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Oracle's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell OracleBuy Oracle
Strong Hold

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Oracle has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1745, Jensen Alpha of 0.3236, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1032, Sortino Ratio of 0.2062 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4295
Macroaxis provides advice on Oracle to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Oracle. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Oracle is not overpriced, please check all Oracle fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, gross profit, cash flow from operations, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and cash per share . Given that Oracle has a price to earning of 39.13 X, we recommend you to check out Oracle market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Oracle Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Oracle currently holds 94.47 B in liabilities. Oracle has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Oracle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Oracle has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 24th of October 2024 Oracle paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Trump Picks Keith Kellogg for Ukraine, Russia Special Envoy

Oracle Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Oracle's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Oracle's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Oracle daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Oracle price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Oracle returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Oracle.
Mean Return
0.47
Value At Risk
-1.9
Potential Upside
2.83
Standard Deviation
2.14
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Oracle historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Oracle Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
15.6 M
Hhg Plc2024-06-30
14.6 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
14.4 M
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
14.1 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
13.2 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
12.9 M
Capital World Investors2024-09-30
12.7 M
Primecap Management Company2024-09-30
12.6 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
12.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
155.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
128.6 M
Note, although Oracle's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Oracle Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash16.7B(7.1B)(8.7B)(11.6B)689M723.5M
Free Cash Flow11.6B13.8B5.0B8.5B11.8B6.9B
Other Non Cash Items239M(39M)220M661M720M756M
Capital Expenditures1.6B2.1B4.5B8.7B6.9B7.2B
Net Income10.1B13.7B6.7B8.5B10.5B5.7B
End Period Cash Flow37.2B30.1B21.4B9.8B10.5B11.1B
Change To Netincome1.2B(435M)1.7B2.0B2.3B2.5B
Dividends Paid3.1B3.1B3.5B3.7B(4.4B)(4.2B)
Investments11.5B(10.9B)15.9B(36.5B)(7.4B)(7.0B)
Change Receivables(690M)141M(874M)(151M)(135.9M)(142.7M)
Net Borrowings15.4B12.3B(8.3B)12.9B14.9B15.6B

Oracle Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Oracle or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Oracle's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Oracle stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
2.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Oracle Volatility Alert

Oracle has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.14 and kurtosis of 10.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Oracle's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Oracle's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Oracle Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Oracle's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Oracle's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Oracle and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Oracle or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Oracle's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oracle by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Oracle to competition
FundamentalsOraclePeer Average
Return On Equity1.56-0.31
Return On Asset0.0729-0.14
Profit Margin0.20 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.31 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation579.88 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.77 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders41.59 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions44.82 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted21.17 M4.71 M
Price To Earning39.13 X28.72 X
Price To Book46.81 X9.51 X
Price To Sales9.52 X11.42 X
Revenue52.96 B9.43 B
Gross Profit36.39 B27.38 B
EBITDA21.58 B3.9 B
Net Income10.47 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents21.38 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.16 X5.01 X
Total Debt94.47 B5.32 B
Current Ratio0.60 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.90 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations18.67 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.47 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.87 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.92 X4.89 X
Target Price183.45
Number Of Employees159 K18.84 K
Beta1.01-0.15
Market Capitalization512.2 B19.03 B
Total Asset140.98 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(22.63 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(8.99 B)1.48 B
Current Asset64.31 B9.34 B
Note: Exercise or conversion by West W Corey of 17813 shares of Oracle subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Oracle Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Oracle . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Oracle Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Oracle? Buying financial instruments such as Oracle Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Oracle in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Long/short ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Long/short ETFs
Long/short ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Long/short ETFs theme has 24 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Long/short ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Oracle is a strong investment it is important to analyze Oracle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Oracle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Oracle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Oracle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Oracle Stock please use our How to buy in Oracle Stock guide.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oracle. If investors know Oracle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.198
Dividend Share
1.6
Earnings Share
3.87
Revenue Per Share
19.553
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.069
The market value of Oracle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oracle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oracle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oracle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oracle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.