Oracle Stock Performance

ORCL Stock  USD 169.96  2.15  1.28%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.23, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Oracle's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Oracle is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Oracle has a negative expected return of -0.085%. Please make sure to check Oracle's jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if Oracle performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Oracle has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent fundamental indicators, Oracle is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.84)
Five Day Return
(6.27)
Year To Date Return
1.51
Ten Year Return
285.41
All Time Return
266.3 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0094
Payout Ratio
0.2712
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.6
Dividend Date
2025-01-23
 
Oracle dividend paid on 23rd of January 2025
01/23/2025
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Begin Period Cash Flow9.8 B
  

Oracle Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  18,223  in Oracle on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,359) from holding Oracle or give up 7.46% of portfolio value over 90 days. Oracle is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.0211% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Oracle, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oracle is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.12 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.05 per unit of volatility.

Oracle Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oracle's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Oracle, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Oracle's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0281

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Negative ReturnsORCL

Estimated Market Risk

 3.02
  actual daily
26
74% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.08
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Oracle is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Oracle by adding Oracle to a well-diversified portfolio.

Oracle Fundamentals Growth

Oracle Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Oracle, and Oracle fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Oracle Stock performance.

About Oracle Performance

By examining Oracle's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Oracle's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Oracle is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 9.26  12.95 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.13  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.16  0.32 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.14 
Return On Equity 1.08  1.14 

Things to note about Oracle performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oracle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Oracle help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oracle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oracle has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Oracle currently holds 94.47 B in liabilities. Oracle has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Oracle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 23rd of January 2025 Oracle paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Oracle Corp Recognized as a Leader in Healthcare Data Platforms
Evaluating Oracle's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Oracle's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Oracle's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Oracle's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Oracle's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Oracle's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Oracle's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Oracle's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Oracle's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Oracle's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Oracle's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Oracle is a strong investment it is important to analyze Oracle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Oracle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Oracle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Oracle. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For more information on how to buy Oracle Stock please use our How to buy in Oracle Stock guide.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oracle. If investors know Oracle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.236
Dividend Share
1.6
Earnings Share
4.1
Revenue Per Share
19.882
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.086
The market value of Oracle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oracle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oracle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oracle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oracle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.