Olympia Financial Group Stock Price Prediction

OLY Stock  CAD 107.00  0.65  0.61%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Olympia Financial's share price is approaching 48. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Olympia Financial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Olympia Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Olympia Financial Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Olympia Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.59
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.352
Wall Street Target Price
141.3821
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.046
Using Olympia Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Olympia Financial Group from the perspective of Olympia Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Olympia Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Olympia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Olympia Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 107.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Olympia Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.4693.62117.70
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.651.651.65
Details

Olympia Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Olympia Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Olympia Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Olympia Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Olympia Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Olympia Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Olympia Financial's historical news coverage. Olympia Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 105.86 and 108.18, respectively. We have considered Olympia Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
107.00
105.86
Downside
107.02
After-hype Price
108.18
Upside
Olympia Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Olympia Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Olympia Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Olympia Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Olympia Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Olympia Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.16
  0.02 
  0.19 
4 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
107.00
107.02
0.02 
610.53  
Notes

Olympia Financial Hype Timeline

Olympia Financial is now traded for 107.00on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Olympia is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 107.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Olympia Financial is about 48.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 107.19. The company reported the revenue of 99.82 M. Net Income was 23.96 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68.23 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Olympia Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Olympia Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Olympia Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Olympia Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Olympia Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Olympia Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BRKBerkshire Hathaway CDR 0.00 0 per month 0.86 (0.07) 1.22 (1.52) 7.22 
ELFE L Financial Corp 0.00 3 per month 0.86  0.01  0.95 (0.39) 13.77 
ELF-PHE L Financial 3 0.00 0 per month 0.52 (0.15) 0.86 (0.86) 2.55 
TPX-BMolson Coors Canada(0.07)1 per month 1.13  0.1  3.49 (1.82) 11.89 
FFHFairfax Financial Holdings 26.89 3 per month 1.06  0.11  1.91 (1.98) 12.98 
FFH-PFFairfax Financial Holdings(2.75)5 per month 0.84  0.14  2.35 (2.06) 15.27 
FFH-PJFairfax Financial Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.51  0.1  1.54 (1.67) 12.64 
FFH-PMFairfax Financial Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.24 (0.06) 0.88 (0.74) 2.17 
FFH-PDFairfax Financial Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.47  0.11  1.79 (1.23) 7.31 
FFH-PHFairfax Financial Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.51  0.11  2.04 (1.34) 12.15 

Olympia Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Olympia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Olympia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Olympia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Olympia Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Olympia Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Olympia Financial Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Olympia Financial based on analysis of Olympia Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Olympia Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Olympia Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05930.04580.06040.0507
Price To Sales Ratio2.322.332.312.2

Story Coverage note for Olympia Financial

The number of cover stories for Olympia Financial depends on current market conditions and Olympia Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Olympia Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Olympia Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Olympia Financial Short Properties

Olympia Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Olympia Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Olympia Financial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Olympia Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Olympia Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.4 M
Dividends Paid14 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.9 M

Other Information on Investing in Olympia Stock

Olympia Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Olympia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Olympia with respect to the benefits of owning Olympia Financial security.