Norfolk Southern Stock Price Prediction

NSC Stock  USD 232.30  4.61  2.02%   
At the present time, the value of relative strength index of Norfolk Southern's share price is approaching 45. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Norfolk Southern, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Norfolk Southern's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Norfolk Southern, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Norfolk Southern's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.391
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.9372
EPS Estimate Current Year
13.0349
EPS Estimate Next Year
14.8803
Wall Street Target Price
277.2862
Using Norfolk Southern hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Norfolk Southern from the perspective of Norfolk Southern response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Norfolk Southern using Norfolk Southern's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Norfolk using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Norfolk Southern's stock price.

Norfolk Southern Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Norfolk Southern's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Norfolk. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Norfolk Southern stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
243.7041
Short Percent
0.0116
Short Ratio
2.06
Shares Short Prior Month
2.2 M
50 Day MA
245.5778

Norfolk Southern Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Norfolk Southern's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Norfolk. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Norfolk can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Norfolk Southern. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Norfolk Southern's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Norfolk Southern.

Norfolk Southern Implied Volatility

    
  0.41  
Norfolk Southern's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Norfolk Southern stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Norfolk Southern's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Norfolk Southern stock will not fluctuate a lot when Norfolk Southern's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Norfolk Southern to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Norfolk because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Norfolk Southern after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 232.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Norfolk contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Norfolk Southern will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Norfolk Southern trading at USD 232.3, that is roughly USD 0.0595 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Norfolk Southern's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Norfolk Southern options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Norfolk Southern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Norfolk Stock refer to our How to Trade Norfolk Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Norfolk Southern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
209.07255.33256.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
228.66230.05231.44
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
248.36272.92302.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.702.883.08
Details

Norfolk Southern After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Norfolk Southern at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Norfolk Southern or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Norfolk Southern, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Norfolk Southern Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Norfolk Southern's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Norfolk Southern's historical news coverage. Norfolk Southern's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 231.11 and 233.89, respectively. We have considered Norfolk Southern's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
232.30
231.11
Downside
232.50
After-hype Price
233.89
Upside
Norfolk Southern is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Norfolk Southern is based on 3 months time horizon.

Norfolk Southern Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Norfolk Southern is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Norfolk Southern backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Norfolk Southern, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.39
  0.20 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
232.30
232.50
0.09 
35.01  
Notes

Norfolk Southern Hype Timeline

On the 16th of March 2025 Norfolk Southern is traded for 232.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Norfolk is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 232.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 35.01%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Norfolk Southern is about 582.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 232.29. The company reported the last year's revenue of 12.12 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.62 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.05 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Norfolk Southern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Norfolk Stock refer to our How to Trade Norfolk Stock guide.

Norfolk Southern Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Norfolk Southern's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Norfolk Southern's future price movements. Getting to know how Norfolk Southern's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Norfolk Southern may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UNPUnion Pacific 1.79 8 per month 1.39  0.11  1.65 (2.07) 9.43 
CPCanadian Pacific Railway(0.42)8 per month 1.87  0.07  3.29 (2.62) 9.92 
CNICanadian National Railway(0.06)9 per month 0.00 (0.01) 2.13 (2.79) 7.67 
WABWestinghouse Air Brake(1.81)10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.30 (3.77) 12.32 
CSXCSX Corporation(0.25)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.58 (2.84) 6.57 
TRNTrinity Industries 0.16 12 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.50 (3.64) 11.94 
GBXGreenbrier Companies 0.39 11 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.82 (3.63) 9.05 
FSTRLB Foster(1.71)6 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.64 (4.76) 17.09 

Norfolk Southern Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Norfolk price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Norfolk using various technical indicators. When you analyze Norfolk charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Norfolk Southern Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Norfolk Southern stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Norfolk Southern, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Norfolk Southern based on analysis of Norfolk Southern hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Norfolk Southern's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Norfolk Southern's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02020.02280.0230.0261
Price To Sales Ratio4.544.414.384.6

Story Coverage note for Norfolk Southern

The number of cover stories for Norfolk Southern depends on current market conditions and Norfolk Southern's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Norfolk Southern is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Norfolk Southern's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Norfolk Southern Short Properties

Norfolk Southern's future price predictability will typically decrease when Norfolk Southern's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Norfolk Southern often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Norfolk Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norfolk Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding226.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

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When running Norfolk Southern's price analysis, check to measure Norfolk Southern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norfolk Southern is operating at the current time. Most of Norfolk Southern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norfolk Southern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norfolk Southern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norfolk Southern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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