Norfolk Southern Stock Price Prediction
| NSC Stock | USD 232.30 4.61 2.02% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.391 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.9372 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.0349 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.8803 | Wall Street Target Price 277.2862 |
Using Norfolk Southern hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Norfolk Southern from the perspective of Norfolk Southern response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Norfolk Southern using Norfolk Southern's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Norfolk using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Norfolk Southern's stock price.
Norfolk Southern Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Norfolk Southern's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Norfolk. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Norfolk Southern stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 243.7041 | Short Percent 0.0116 | Short Ratio 2.06 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 245.5778 |
Norfolk Southern Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Norfolk Southern's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Norfolk. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Norfolk can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Norfolk Southern. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Norfolk Southern's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Norfolk Southern.
Norfolk Southern Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Norfolk Southern's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Norfolk Southern stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Norfolk Southern's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Norfolk Southern stock will not fluctuate a lot when Norfolk Southern's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Norfolk Southern to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Norfolk because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Norfolk Southern after-hype prediction price | USD 232.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Norfolk contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Norfolk Southern will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Norfolk Southern trading at USD 232.3, that is roughly USD 0.0595 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Norfolk Southern's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Norfolk Southern options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Norfolk |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Norfolk Southern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Norfolk Southern After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Norfolk Southern at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Norfolk Southern or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Norfolk Southern, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Norfolk Southern Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Norfolk Southern's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Norfolk Southern's historical news coverage. Norfolk Southern's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 231.11 and 233.89, respectively. We have considered Norfolk Southern's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Norfolk Southern is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Norfolk Southern is based on 3 months time horizon.
Norfolk Southern Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Norfolk Southern is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Norfolk Southern backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Norfolk Southern, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.39 | 0.20 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
232.30 | 232.50 | 0.09 |
|
Norfolk Southern Hype Timeline
On the 16th of March 2025 Norfolk Southern is traded for 232.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Norfolk is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 232.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 35.01%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Norfolk Southern is about 582.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 232.29. The company reported the last year's revenue of 12.12 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.62 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.05 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Norfolk Southern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Norfolk Southern Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Norfolk Southern's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Norfolk Southern's future price movements. Getting to know how Norfolk Southern's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Norfolk Southern may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UNP | Union Pacific | 1.79 | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.11 | 1.65 | (2.07) | 9.43 | |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | (0.42) | 8 per month | 1.87 | 0.07 | 3.29 | (2.62) | 9.92 | |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.13 | (2.79) | 7.67 | |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake | (1.81) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.30 | (3.77) | 12.32 | |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | (0.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.58 | (2.84) | 6.57 | |
| TRN | Trinity Industries | 0.16 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.50 | (3.64) | 11.94 | |
| GBX | Greenbrier Companies | 0.39 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.82 | (3.63) | 9.05 | |
| FSTR | LB Foster | (1.71) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.64 | (4.76) | 17.09 |
Norfolk Southern Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Norfolk price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Norfolk using various technical indicators. When you analyze Norfolk charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Norfolk Southern Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Norfolk Southern stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Norfolk Southern, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Norfolk Southern based on analysis of Norfolk Southern hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Norfolk Southern's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Norfolk Southern's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0202 | 0.0228 | 0.023 | 0.0261 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.54 | 4.41 | 4.38 | 4.6 |
Story Coverage note for Norfolk Southern
The number of cover stories for Norfolk Southern depends on current market conditions and Norfolk Southern's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Norfolk Southern is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Norfolk Southern's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Norfolk Southern Short Properties
Norfolk Southern's future price predictability will typically decrease when Norfolk Southern's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Norfolk Southern often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Norfolk Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norfolk Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 226.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Complementary Tools for Norfolk Stock analysis
When running Norfolk Southern's price analysis, check to measure Norfolk Southern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norfolk Southern is operating at the current time. Most of Norfolk Southern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norfolk Southern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norfolk Southern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norfolk Southern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. |