Annaly Capital Management Stock Price Prediction
| NLY Stock | USD 21.61 0.51 2.42% |
Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6785 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.8182 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8496 | Wall Street Target Price 21.1818 |
Using Annaly Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Annaly Capital Management from the perspective of Annaly Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Annaly Capital using Annaly Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Annaly using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Annaly Capital's stock price.
Annaly Capital Short Interest
An investor who is long Annaly Capital may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Annaly Capital and may potentially protect profits, hedge Annaly Capital with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 19.9347 | Short Percent 0.0216 | Short Ratio 1.35 | Shares Short Prior Month 16.6 M | 50 Day MA 20.357 |
Annaly Capital Management Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Annaly Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Annaly. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Annaly can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Annaly Capital Management. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Annaly Capital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Annaly Capital.
Annaly Capital Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
Annaly Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Annaly Capital Management stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Annaly Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Annaly Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Annaly Capital's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Annaly Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Annaly because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Annaly Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 21.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Annaly contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Annaly Capital Management will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Annaly Capital trading at USD 21.61, that is roughly USD 0.005808 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Annaly Capital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Annaly Capital Management options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Annaly |
Annaly Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Annaly Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Annaly Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Annaly Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Annaly Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Annaly Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Annaly Capital's historical news coverage. Annaly Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.22 and 22.94, respectively. We have considered Annaly Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Annaly Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Annaly Capital Management is based on 3 months time horizon.
Annaly Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Annaly Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Annaly Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Annaly Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.36 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.61 | 21.58 | 0.14 |
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Annaly Capital Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 Annaly Capital Management is traded for 21.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Annaly is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Annaly Capital is about 2863.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.62. About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.13. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Annaly Capital Management last dividend was issued on the 31st of March 2025. The entity had 1:4 split on the 26th of September 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Annaly Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Annaly Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Annaly Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Annaly Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Annaly Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Annaly Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | (0.46) | 12 per month | 1.11 | 0.12 | 1.62 | (2.10) | 4.93 | |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investments | 0.12 | 8 per month | 1.04 | 0.26 | 2.32 | (1.60) | 10.25 | |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | (0.18) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.49 | (2.94) | 15.82 | |
| CIM | Chimera Investment | (0.23) | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.63 | (3.19) | 10.76 | |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.19 | 1.93 | (1.73) | 8.39 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | (0.04) | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.13 | 2.32 | (2.16) | 8.74 | |
| NYMT | New York Mortgage | 0.56 | 8 per month | 1.73 | 0.13 | 4.10 | (2.71) | 10.06 | |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp | 0.11 | 11 per month | 0.83 | 0.23 | 1.90 | (1.46) | 4.66 | |
| STWD | Starwood Property Trust | (0.04) | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.12 | 1.79 | (1.80) | 4.80 | |
| RITM | Rithm Capital Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.16 | 2.59 | (2.37) | 6.50 | |
| BXMT | Blackstone Mortgage Trust | 0.58 | 9 per month | 1.35 | 0.19 | 2.77 | (2.37) | 6.12 | |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real | 0.17 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.19 | (4.93) | 16.58 |
Annaly Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Annaly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Annaly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Annaly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Annaly Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Annaly Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Annaly Capital Management, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Annaly Capital based on analysis of Annaly Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Annaly Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Annaly Capital's related companies. | 2017 | 2025 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.85 | 1.05 | Dividend Yield | 0.11 | 0.096 |
Story Coverage note for Annaly Capital
The number of cover stories for Annaly Capital depends on current market conditions and Annaly Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Annaly Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Annaly Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Annaly Capital Short Properties
Annaly Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Annaly Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Annaly Capital Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Annaly Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Annaly Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 522.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Additional Tools for Annaly Stock Analysis
When running Annaly Capital's price analysis, check to measure Annaly Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Annaly Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Annaly Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Annaly Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Annaly Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Annaly Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.