Annaly Capital Management Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NLY Stock  USD 19.82  0.11  0.56%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Annaly Capital Management is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Annaly Capital Management given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Annaly Capital. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Annaly Capital Management, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Annaly Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Annaly and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Annaly Capital Management. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Annaly Capital Buy or Sell Advice

The Annaly recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Annaly Capital Management. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Annaly Capital Management or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Annaly Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Annaly CapitalBuy Annaly Capital
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Annaly Capital Management has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0355, Jensen Alpha of 0.0098, Total Risk Alpha of (0.12), Sortino Ratio of (0.07) and Treynor Ratio of 0.1626
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Annaly Capital Management and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Annaly Capital is not overpriced, please confirm all Annaly Capital Management fundamentals, including its total debt, and the relationship between the revenue and earnings per share . Given that Annaly Capital Management has a price to earning of 2.82 X, we suggest you to validate Annaly Capital Management market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Annaly Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Annaly Capital Management has 13.2 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.82, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Annaly Capital Management has a current ratio of 0.25, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Annaly to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.64 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.97 B.
About 56.0% of Annaly Capital shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of October 2024 Annaly Capital paid $ 0.65 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Is Annaly Up 0.4 percent Since Last Earnings Report

Annaly Capital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Annaly Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Annaly Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Annaly Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Annaly Capital Management price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Annaly Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Annaly Capital.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-1.77
Potential Upside
1.60
Standard Deviation
1.02
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Annaly Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Annaly Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Annaly Capital, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Annaly Capital Management back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Brandywine Global Investment Mgmt Llc2024-09-30
3.4 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
3.2 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
M
Lsv Asset Management2024-09-30
2.5 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
2.5 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
2.2 M
Victory Capital Management Inc.2024-09-30
M
Kbc Group Nv2024-06-30
M
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
1.9 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
55.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
48.9 M
Note, although Annaly Capital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Annaly Capital Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash115.0M(607.0M)98.4M234.6M(164.6M)(156.3M)
Free Cash Flow(1.2B)(32.1B)2.5B4.4B2.0B2.5B
Depreciation31.6M41.4M24.6M20.5M24.8M34.5M
Other Non Cash Items1.1B1.3B689.8M3.8B4.7B4.9B
Dividends Paid1.7B1.5B1.4B1.5B1.5B1.0B
Capital Expenditures25.0M32.7B538.1M1.0B396.8M377.0M
Net Income(2.2B)(889.8M)2.4B1.7B(1.6B)(1.6B)
End Period Cash Flow1.9B1.2B1.3B1.6B1.4B814.2M
Investments(20.4B)40.1B4.2B(13.5B)(15.2B)(15.9B)
Change Receivables(86.0M)159.3M32.9M(403.6M)(363.3M)(345.1M)
Net Borrowings1.4B1.1B2.0B4.2B4.9B5.1B
Change To Netincome354.1M(338.1M)298.4M12.7M14.7M13.9M

Annaly Capital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Annaly Capital or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Annaly Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Annaly stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
1.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Annaly Capital Volatility Alert

Annaly Capital Management has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Annaly Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Annaly Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Annaly Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Annaly Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Annaly Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Annaly Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Annaly Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Annaly Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Annaly Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Annaly Capital to competition
FundamentalsAnnaly CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0127-0.31
Return On Asset0.0015-0.14
Profit Margin0.31 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.57 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation98.6 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding560.55 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.19 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions56.09 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted11.29 M4.71 M
Price To Earning2.82 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.01 X9.51 X
Price To Sales30.08 X11.42 X
Revenue(1.65 B)9.43 B
Gross Profit1.97 B27.38 B
EBITDA(1.6 B)3.9 B
Net Income(1.64 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.58 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.80 X5.01 X
Total Debt13.2 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity5.82 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.54 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.37 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.95 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.08) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(3.61) X4.89 X
Target Price21.55
Number Of Employees18718.84 K
Beta1.58-0.15
Market Capitalization11.11 B19.03 B
Total Asset93.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(12.62 B)9.33 B
Annual Yield0.13 %
Note: Acquisition by Anthony Green of 3136 shares of Annaly Capital subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Annaly Capital Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Annaly . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Annaly Capital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Annaly Capital Management? Buying financial instruments such as Annaly Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Annaly Stock Analysis

When running Annaly Capital's price analysis, check to measure Annaly Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Annaly Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Annaly Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Annaly Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Annaly Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Annaly Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.