Netflix Etf Price Prediction
| NFLX Etf | USD 918.00 27.83 3.13% |
Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.018 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.968 | EPS Estimate Current Year 24.7964 | EPS Estimate Next Year 30.2923 | Wall Street Target Price 1.1 K |
Using Netflix hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Netflix from the perspective of Netflix response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Netflix using Netflix's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Netflix using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Netflix's stock price.
Netflix Implied Volatility | 0.56 |
Netflix's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Netflix stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Netflix's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Netflix stock will not fluctuate a lot when Netflix's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Netflix to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Netflix because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Netflix after-hype prediction price | USD 918.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Netflix contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Netflix will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Netflix trading at USD 918.0, that is roughly USD 0.32 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Netflix's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Netflix options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Netflix |
Netflix After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Netflix at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Netflix or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Netflix, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Netflix Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Netflix's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Netflix's historical news coverage. Netflix's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 915.85 and 920.59, respectively. We have considered Netflix's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Netflix is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Netflix is based on 3 months time horizon.
Netflix Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Netflix is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Netflix backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Netflix, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.37 | 0.22 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
918.00 | 918.22 | 0.02 |
|
Netflix Hype Timeline
Netflix is now traded for 918.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Netflix is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 918.22 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 21.55%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Netflix is about 383.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 917.99. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 39 B. Net Income was 8.71 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.96 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Netflix Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Netflix Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Netflix's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Netflix's future price movements. Getting to know how Netflix's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Netflix may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PARA | Paramount Global Class | (0.06) | 10 per month | 1.70 | 0.12 | 3.23 | (2.68) | 8.95 | |
| ROKU | Roku Inc | (4.14) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.25 | (5.88) | 21.34 | |
| WBD | Warner Bros Discovery | 0.14 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 3.97 | (4.34) | 21.82 | |
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings | (0.26) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.42 | (4.97) | 15.91 | |
| DIS | Walt Disney | (0.03) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.83 | (2.44) | 7.36 | |
| APE | AMC Preferred Units | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PARAA | Paramount Global Class | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.14 | (1.37) | 5.39 |
Netflix Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Netflix price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Netflix using various technical indicators. When you analyze Netflix charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Netflix Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Netflix stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Netflix, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Netflix based on analysis of Netflix hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Netflix's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Netflix's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Netflix
The number of cover stories for Netflix depends on current market conditions and Netflix's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Netflix is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Netflix's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Netflix Short Properties
Netflix's future price predictability will typically decrease when Netflix's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Netflix often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Netflix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Netflix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 439.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.6 B |
Other Information on Investing in Netflix Etf
Netflix financial ratios help investors to determine whether Netflix Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Netflix with respect to the benefits of owning Netflix security.