Netflix Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NFLX Stock  USD 886.81  9.47  1.08%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Netflix is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Netflix given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Netflix. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Netflix, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Netflix Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Netflix Stock please use our How to Invest in Netflix guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Netflix and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Netflix. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Netflix Buy or Sell Advice

The Netflix recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Netflix. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Netflix or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Netflix's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NetflixBuy Netflix
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Netflix has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1655, Jensen Alpha of 0.3252, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0724, Sortino Ratio of 0.1676 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6586
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Netflix to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Netflix. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Netflix is not overpriced, please verify all Netflix fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Netflix has a price to earning of 27.80 X, we recommend you to check Netflix market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Netflix Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Netflix is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from techradar.com: What is the best Black Friday deal Heres the answer according to 15 deals experts

Netflix Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Netflix's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Netflix's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Netflix daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Netflix price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Netflix returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Netflix.
Mean Return
0.41
Value At Risk
-2.47
Potential Upside
2.80
Standard Deviation
1.98
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Netflix historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Netflix Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Netflix, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Netflix back and forth among themselves.
Shares
International Assets Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
5.8 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
5.5 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-09-30
5.4 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
5.3 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
4.9 M
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-06-30
4.8 M
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2024-09-30
4.7 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
4.5 M
Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp2024-06-30
4.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
37.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
31.6 M
Note, although Netflix's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Netflix Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures253.0M497.9M524.6M407.7M348.6M192.2M
End Period Cash Flow5.0B8.2B6.1B5.2B7.1B7.5B
Change In Cash1.2B3.2B(2.2B)(884.5M)1.9B2.0B
Free Cash Flow(3.1B)1.9B(132.0M)1.6B6.9B7.3B
Depreciation9.3B10.9B12.4B14.4B14.6B15.3B
Other Non Cash Items(14.4B)(11.7B)(17.5B)(16.5B)(12.5B)(11.8B)
Net Income1.9B2.8B5.1B4.5B5.4B5.7B
Investments(387.1M)(505.4M)(1.3B)(2.1B)541.8M568.8M
Net Borrowings4.4B1.0B(500M)(700M)(805M)(764.8M)
Change To Netincome(106.0M)484.2M(16.9B)935.2M841.7M883.8M

Netflix Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Netflix or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Netflix's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Netflix stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Netflix Volatility Alert

Netflix has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.09 and kurtosis of 12.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Netflix's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Netflix's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Netflix Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Netflix's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Netflix's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Netflix and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Netflix or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Netflix's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Netflix by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Netflix to competition
FundamentalsNetflixPeer Average
Return On Equity0.35-0.31
Return On Asset0.12-0.14
Profit Margin0.21 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.30 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation381.78 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding427.46 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.73 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.34 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.67 M4.71 M
Price To Earning27.80 X28.72 X
Price To Book16.51 X9.51 X
Price To Sales10.09 X11.42 X
Revenue33.72 B9.43 B
Gross Profit12.45 B27.38 B
EBITDA21.51 B3.9 B
Net Income5.41 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents5.15 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share13.74 X5.01 X
Total Debt14.54 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.80 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.13 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share53.15 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations7.27 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.03 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share17.72 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.79 X4.89 X
Target Price788.67
Number Of Employees13 K18.84 K
Beta1.25-0.15
Market Capitalization379.07 B19.03 B
Total Asset48.73 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings22.59 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.06 B1.48 B

Netflix Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Netflix . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Netflix Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Netflix? Buying financial instruments such as Netflix Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Netflix in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Sport Products Thematic Idea Now

Sport Products
Sport Products Theme
Companies manufacturing sporting goods and accessories. The Sport Products theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sport Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Netflix Stock Analysis

When running Netflix's price analysis, check to measure Netflix's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Netflix is operating at the current time. Most of Netflix's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Netflix's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Netflix's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Netflix to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.