Life Time Group Stock Price Prediction
| LTH Stock | USD 31.61 0.74 2.40% |
Momentum 78
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.75 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.16 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.824 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.174 | Wall Street Target Price 32.4615 |
Using Life Time hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Life Time Group from the perspective of Life Time response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Life Time using Life Time's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Life using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Life Time's stock price.
Life Time Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Life Time's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Life. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Life Time stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 22.9573 | Short Percent 0.0718 | Short Ratio 3.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.6 M | 50 Day MA 26.7628 |
Life Time Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Life Time's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Life. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Life can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Life Time Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Life Time's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Life Time.
Life Time Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Life Time's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Life Time Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Life Time's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Life Time stock will not fluctuate a lot when Life Time's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Life Time to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Life because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Life Time after-hype prediction price | USD 32.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Life contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Life Time Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Life Time trading at USD 31.61, that is roughly USD 0.0148 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Life Time's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Life Time Group options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Life |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Life Time's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Life Time After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Life Time at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Life Time or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Life Time, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Life Time Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Life Time's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Life Time's historical news coverage. Life Time's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.48 and 34.26, respectively. We have considered Life Time's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Life Time is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Life Time Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Life Time Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Life Time is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Life Time backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Life Time, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 1.90 | 0.43 | 0.84 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.61 | 32.37 | 1.22 |
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Life Time Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February Life Time Group is traded for 31.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.84. Life is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 32.37 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.22%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on Life Time is about 106.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.77. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.22 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 76.06 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.18 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Life Time Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Life Time Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Life Time's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Life Time's future price movements. Getting to know how Life Time's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Life Time may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | (0.49) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.82 | (2.80) | 9.43 | |
| DPZ | Dominos Pizza Common | (6.32) | 8 per month | 1.47 | 0.05 | 3.48 | (3.02) | 7.78 | |
| YUM | Yum Brands | 1.62 | 5 per month | 1.00 | 0.14 | 2.04 | (1.43) | 10.73 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | 0.51 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.47 | (2.66) | 6.91 | |
| WING | Wingstop | (7.43) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.77 | (5.29) | 17.93 | |
| SHAK | Shake Shack | 1.16 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.21 | (3.95) | 23.18 | |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants | (2.42) | 8 per month | 1.02 | 0.13 | 2.67 | (2.00) | 16.74 | |
| YUMC | Yum China Holdings | (0.85) | 8 per month | 1.95 | 0.01 | 3.62 | (3.78) | 13.15 |
Life Time Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Life price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Life using various technical indicators. When you analyze Life charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Life Time Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Life Time stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Life Time Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Life Time based on analysis of Life Time hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Life Time's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Life Time's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 4.61 | 9.76 | 11.23 | 8.95 | PTB Ratio | 1.09 | 1.31 | 1.51 | 1.8 |
Story Coverage note for Life Time
The number of cover stories for Life Time depends on current market conditions and Life Time's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Life Time is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Life Time's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Life Time Short Properties
Life Time's future price predictability will typically decrease when Life Time's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Life Time Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Life Time's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Life Time's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 204 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30 M |
Complementary Tools for Life Stock analysis
When running Life Time's price analysis, check to measure Life Time's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Life Time is operating at the current time. Most of Life Time's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Life Time's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Life Time's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Life Time to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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