Landsea Homes Corp Stock Price Prediction
| LSEA Stock | USD 6.77 0.18 2.59% |
Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.05 | Wall Street Target Price 11 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.47 |
Using Landsea Homes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Landsea Homes Corp from the perspective of Landsea Homes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Landsea Homes using Landsea Homes' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Landsea using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Landsea Homes' stock price.
Landsea Homes Implied Volatility | 1.5 |
Landsea Homes' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Landsea Homes Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Landsea Homes' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Landsea Homes stock will not fluctuate a lot when Landsea Homes' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Landsea Homes to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Landsea because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Landsea Homes after-hype prediction price | USD 6.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Landsea contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Landsea Homes Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0938% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Landsea Homes trading at USD 6.77, that is roughly USD 0.006347 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Landsea Homes' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Landsea Homes Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Landsea |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Landsea Homes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Landsea Homes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Landsea Homes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Landsea Homes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Landsea Homes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Landsea Homes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Landsea Homes' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Landsea Homes' historical news coverage. Landsea Homes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.64 and 10.96, respectively. We have considered Landsea Homes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Landsea Homes is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Landsea Homes Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Landsea Homes Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Landsea Homes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Landsea Homes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Landsea Homes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 4.16 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.77 | 6.80 | 0.44 |
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Landsea Homes Hype Timeline
Landsea Homes Corp is now traded for 6.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Landsea is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Landsea Homes is about 2000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.70. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.55 B. Net Income was 18.53 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 253.16 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Landsea Homes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Landsea Homes Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Landsea Homes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Landsea Homes' future price movements. Getting to know how Landsea Homes' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Landsea Homes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GCMG | GCM Grosvenor | (0.04) | 10 per month | 1.13 | 0.15 | 2.18 | (2.02) | 7.37 | |
| ASLE | AerSale Corp | 0.17 | 10 per month | 1.00 | 0.20 | 3.05 | (2.22) | 20.43 | |
| ARKO | Arko Corp | (0.42) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.20 | (5.21) | 43.20 | |
| ADV | Advantage Solutions | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 6.02 | (8.90) | 24.78 | |
| IGIC | International General Insurance | (0.82) | 8 per month | 1.91 | 0.08 | 2.89 | (2.89) | 8.27 |
Landsea Homes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Landsea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Landsea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Landsea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Landsea Homes Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Landsea Homes stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Landsea Homes Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Landsea Homes based on analysis of Landsea Homes hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Landsea Homes's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Landsea Homes's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | |
| Payables Turnover | 15.58 | 12.76 | 15.32 | 14.55 |
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 344.18 | 411.5 | 369.56 | 481.86 |
Story Coverage note for Landsea Homes
The number of cover stories for Landsea Homes depends on current market conditions and Landsea Homes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Landsea Homes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Landsea Homes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Landsea Homes Short Properties
Landsea Homes' future price predictability will typically decrease when Landsea Homes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Landsea Homes Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Landsea Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Landsea Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 53.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Landsea Stock analysis
When running Landsea Homes' price analysis, check to measure Landsea Homes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Landsea Homes is operating at the current time. Most of Landsea Homes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Landsea Homes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Landsea Homes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Landsea Homes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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