Julius Br Gruppe Stock Price Prediction
| JBARF Stock | USD 71.05 1.55 2.23% |
Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Julius Bär hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Julius Br Gruppe from the perspective of Julius Bär response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Julius Bär to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Julius because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Julius Bär after-hype prediction price | USD 71.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Julius |
Julius Bär After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Julius Bär at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Julius Bär or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Julius Bär, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Julius Bär Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Julius Bär's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Julius Bär's historical news coverage. Julius Bär's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.71 and 73.39, respectively. We have considered Julius Bär's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Julius Bär is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Julius Br Gruppe is based on 3 months time horizon.
Julius Bär Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Julius Bär is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Julius Bär backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Julius Bär, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
71.05 | 71.05 | 0.00 |
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Julius Bär Hype Timeline
Julius Br Gruppe is currently traded for 71.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Julius is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Julius Bär is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.05. About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Julius Br Gruppe last dividend was issued on the 17th of April 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Julius Bär Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Julius Bär Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Julius Bär's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Julius Bär's future price movements. Getting to know how Julius Bär's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Julius Bär may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JBAXY | Julius Baer Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.68 | 0.09 | 2.73 | (2.36) | 15.52 | |
| NNGPF | NN Group NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | 0.29 | 5.21 | (1.51) | 10.15 | |
| EBKOF | Erste Group Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.11 | 0.19 | 5.68 | (3.79) | 15.49 | |
| PGPHF | Partners Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.42 | 0.09 | 4.14 | (4.45) | 11.91 | |
| TGOPF | 3i Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.06 | 3.70 | (3.87) | 12.36 |
Julius Bär Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Julius price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Julius using various technical indicators. When you analyze Julius charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Julius Bär Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Julius Bär stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Julius Br Gruppe, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Julius Bär based on analysis of Julius Bär hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Julius Bär's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Julius Bär's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Julius Bär
The number of cover stories for Julius Bär depends on current market conditions and Julius Bär's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Julius Bär is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Julius Bär's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Julius Bär Short Properties
Julius Bär's future price predictability will typically decrease when Julius Bär's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Julius Br Gruppe often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Julius Bär's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Julius Bär's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 213.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Julius Pink Sheet analysis
When running Julius Bär's price analysis, check to measure Julius Bär's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Julius Bär is operating at the current time. Most of Julius Bär's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Julius Bär's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Julius Bär's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Julius Bär to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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