Ingles Markets Incorporated Stock Price Prediction
| IMKTA Stock | USD 61.59 0.19 0.31% |
Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
Using Ingles Markets hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ingles Markets Incorporated from the perspective of Ingles Markets response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ingles Markets using Ingles Markets' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ingles using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ingles Markets' stock price.
Ingles Markets Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
Ingles Markets' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ingles Markets Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ingles Markets' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ingles Markets stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ingles Markets' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ingles Markets to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ingles because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ingles Markets after-hype prediction price | USD 61.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ingles contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ingles Markets Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Ingles Markets trading at USD 61.59, that is roughly USD 0.0254 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ingles Markets' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ingles Markets Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Ingles |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ingles Markets' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ingles Markets After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ingles Markets at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ingles Markets or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ingles Markets, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ingles Markets Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ingles Markets' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ingles Markets' historical news coverage. Ingles Markets' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.89 and 62.87, respectively. We have considered Ingles Markets' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ingles Markets is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ingles Markets is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ingles Markets Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ingles Markets is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ingles Markets backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ingles Markets, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.49 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
61.59 | 61.38 | 0.34 |
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Ingles Markets Hype Timeline
Ingles Markets is currently traded for 61.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Ingles is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 61.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 108.76%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Ingles Markets is about 118.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.78. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ingles Markets has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of January 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Ingles Markets Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ingles Markets Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ingles Markets' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ingles Markets' future price movements. Getting to know how Ingles Markets' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ingles Markets may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WMK | Weis Markets | 1.69 | 9 per month | 1.68 | 0.17 | 2.78 | (2.13) | 8.78 | |
| NGVC | Natural Grocers by | 3.96 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.46 | (5.63) | 16.17 | |
| ASAI | Sendas Distribuidora SA | (0.27) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.51 | (7.48) | 23.54 | |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | 1.57 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.42 | (4.81) | 38.19 | |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market | 0.39 | 8 per month | 1.63 | 0.12 | 2.82 | (3.14) | 10.84 | |
| ADRNY | Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies | 0.59 | 8 per month | 1.59 | 0.16 | 3.42 | (2.69) | 9.41 | |
| KR | Kroger Company | 3.36 | 8 per month | 1.29 | 0.16 | 3.05 | (2.44) | 8.09 | |
| OCDDY | Ocado Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.88 | (5.26) | 29.71 |
Ingles Markets Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ingles price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ingles using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ingles charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ingles Markets Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ingles Markets stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ingles Markets Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ingles Markets based on analysis of Ingles Markets hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ingles Markets's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ingles Markets's related companies. | 2016 | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00807 | 8.69 | 0.008763 | 0.008325 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.13 |
Story Coverage note for Ingles Markets
The number of cover stories for Ingles Markets depends on current market conditions and Ingles Markets' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ingles Markets is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ingles Markets' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ingles Markets Short Properties
Ingles Markets' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ingles Markets' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ingles Markets Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ingles Markets' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ingles Markets' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 353.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Ingles Stock analysis
When running Ingles Markets' price analysis, check to measure Ingles Markets' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ingles Markets is operating at the current time. Most of Ingles Markets' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ingles Markets' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ingles Markets' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ingles Markets to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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