Encore Capital Group Stock Price Prediction
| ECPG Stock | USD 49.38 0.32 0.65% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.595 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.83 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7 | Wall Street Target Price 62.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.48 |
Using Encore Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Encore Capital Group from the perspective of Encore Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Encore Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Encore because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Encore Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 49.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Encore |
Encore Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Encore Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Encore Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Encore Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Encore Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Encore Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Encore Capital's historical news coverage. Encore Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.59 and 51.17, respectively. We have considered Encore Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Encore Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Encore Capital Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Encore Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Encore Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Encore Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Encore Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.75 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
49.38 | 49.38 | 0.00 |
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Encore Capital Hype Timeline
Encore Capital Group is currently traded for 49.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Encore is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Encore Capital is about 555.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.40. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.12. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Encore Capital Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.17. The entity recorded a loss per share of 7.83. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Encore Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Encore Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Encore Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Encore Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Encore Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Encore Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GHLD | Guild Holdings Co | (0.50) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.57 | (3.77) | 11.75 | |
| OCN | Ocwen Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.40 | 0.05 | 4.38 | (3.44) | 20.86 | |
| COOP | Mr Cooper Group | 0.51 | 8 per month | 1.54 | (0.01) | 2.86 | (2.70) | 9.12 | |
| CNF | CNFinance Holdings | 0.11 | 7 per month | 7.26 | 0 | 20.00 | (13.95) | 78.29 | |
| HMPT | Home Point Capital | (0.01) | 6 per month | 1.31 | 0.07 | 4.55 | (2.60) | 19.28 | |
| SNFCA | Security National Financial | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.70 | 0.25 | 2.81 | (1.54) | 11.74 | |
| PFSI | PennyMac Finl Svcs | 2.44 | 11 per month | 1.55 | (0.03) | 2.33 | (2.17) | 7.68 | |
| VEL | Velocity Financial Llc | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.60 | 0.04 | 1.69 | (1.12) | 4.30 |
Encore Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Encore price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Encore using various technical indicators. When you analyze Encore charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Encore Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Encore Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Encore Capital Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Encore Capital based on analysis of Encore Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Encore Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Encore Capital's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001365 | 0.001296 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.98 | 1.18 |
Story Coverage note for Encore Capital
The number of cover stories for Encore Capital depends on current market conditions and Encore Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Encore Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Encore Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Encore Capital Short Properties
Encore Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Encore Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Encore Capital Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Encore Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Encore Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 158.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Encore Stock analysis
When running Encore Capital's price analysis, check to measure Encore Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Encore Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Encore Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Encore Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Encore Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Encore Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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