Pennymac Finl Svcs Stock Price Prediction
| PFSI Stock | USD 103.18 0.40 0.39% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.0519 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.1502 | EPS Estimate Next Year 15.6615 | Wall Street Target Price 125.75 |
Using PennyMac Finl hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PennyMac Finl Svcs from the perspective of PennyMac Finl response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PennyMac Finl using PennyMac Finl's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PennyMac using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PennyMac Finl's stock price.
PennyMac Finl Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in PennyMac Finl's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PennyMac. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PennyMac Finl stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 101.4306 | Short Percent 0.0456 | Short Ratio 3.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 103.6636 |
PennyMac Finl Svcs Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PennyMac Finl's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PennyMac. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PennyMac can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PennyMac Finl Svcs. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PennyMac Finl's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PennyMac Finl.
PennyMac Finl Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
PennyMac Finl's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PennyMac Finl Svcs stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PennyMac Finl's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PennyMac Finl stock will not fluctuate a lot when PennyMac Finl's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PennyMac Finl to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PennyMac because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PennyMac Finl after-hype prediction price | USD 102.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PennyMac contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PennyMac Finl Svcs will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With PennyMac Finl trading at USD 103.18, that is roughly USD 0.0303 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PennyMac Finl's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PennyMac Finl Svcs options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
PennyMac |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PennyMac Finl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PennyMac Finl After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PennyMac Finl at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PennyMac Finl or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PennyMac Finl, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PennyMac Finl Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PennyMac Finl's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PennyMac Finl's historical news coverage. PennyMac Finl's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 100.70 and 104.76, respectively. We have considered PennyMac Finl's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PennyMac Finl is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PennyMac Finl Svcs is based on 3 months time horizon.
PennyMac Finl Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PennyMac Finl is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PennyMac Finl backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PennyMac Finl, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.01 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
103.18 | 102.73 | 0.05 |
|
PennyMac Finl Hype Timeline
PennyMac Finl Svcs is at this time traded for 103.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. PennyMac is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 102.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on PennyMac Finl is about 1005.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 103.19. About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PennyMac Finl Svcs recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out PennyMac Finl Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PennyMac Finl Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PennyMac Finl's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PennyMac Finl's future price movements. Getting to know how PennyMac Finl's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PennyMac Finl may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HMPT | Home Point Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OCN | OCN Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ECPG | Encore Capital Group | 1.83 | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.02 | 2.48 | (2.10) | 5.77 | |
| GHI | Greystone Housing Impact | 0.06 | 7 per month | 1.72 | 0.08 | 3.20 | (2.80) | 11.16 | |
| GHLD | Guild Holdings Co | (0.41) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.37 | (3.67) | 13.35 | |
| SNFCA | Security National Financial | 0.19 | 6 per month | 1.57 | 0.06 | 3.15 | (2.54) | 9.04 | |
| TBCRF | Timbercreek Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.66 | (4.06) | 9.38 | |
| CNF | CNFinance Holdings | (0.07) | 2 per month | 4.60 | 0.04 | 9.76 | (7.69) | 26.33 |
PennyMac Finl Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PennyMac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PennyMac using various technical indicators. When you analyze PennyMac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PennyMac Finl Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PennyMac Finl stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PennyMac Finl Svcs, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PennyMac Finl based on analysis of PennyMac Finl hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PennyMac Finl's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PennyMac Finl's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0182 | 0.009384 | 0.01 | 0.0193 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.53 | 2.17 | 3.27 | 3.43 |
Story Coverage note for PennyMac Finl
The number of cover stories for PennyMac Finl depends on current market conditions and PennyMac Finl's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PennyMac Finl is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PennyMac Finl's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
PennyMac Finl Short Properties
PennyMac Finl's future price predictability will typically decrease when PennyMac Finl's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PennyMac Finl Svcs often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PennyMac Finl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PennyMac Finl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 659 M |
Complementary Tools for PennyMac Stock analysis
When running PennyMac Finl's price analysis, check to measure PennyMac Finl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PennyMac Finl is operating at the current time. Most of PennyMac Finl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PennyMac Finl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PennyMac Finl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PennyMac Finl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities |