Core Main Stock Price Prediction
| CNM Stock | USD 50.76 1.10 2.22% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.056 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.21 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.4527 | Wall Street Target Price 61.135 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.6649 |
Using Core Main hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Core Main from the perspective of Core Main response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Core Main using Core Main's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Core using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Core Main's stock price.
Core Main Short Interest
An investor who is long Core Main may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Core Main and may potentially protect profits, hedge Core Main with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 49.9771 | Short Percent 0.1279 | Short Ratio 8.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.3 M | 50 Day MA 53.3748 |
Core Main Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Core Main's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Core. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Core can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Core Main. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Core Main's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Core Main.
Core Main Implied Volatility | 0.58 |
Core Main's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Core Main stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Core Main's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Core Main stock will not fluctuate a lot when Core Main's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Core Main to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Core because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Core Main after-hype prediction price | USD 51.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Core contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Core Main will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Core Main trading at USD 50.76, that is roughly USD 0.0184 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Core Main's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Core Main options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Core |
Core Main After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Core Main at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Core Main or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Core Main, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Core Main Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Core Main's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Core Main's historical news coverage. Core Main's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.50 and 53.52, respectively. We have considered Core Main's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Core Main is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Core Main is based on 3 months time horizon.
Core Main Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Core Main is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Core Main backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Core Main, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.50 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
50.76 | 51.01 | 0.12 |
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Core Main Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February Core Main is traded for 50.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Core is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 51.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Core Main is about 220.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.87. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.7 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 371 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.91 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Core Main Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Core Main Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Core Main's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Core Main's future price movements. Getting to know how Core Main's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Core Main may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DSGR | Distribution Solutions Group | (0.30) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.71 | (3.22) | 7.76 | |
| GIC | Global Industrial Co | 0.25 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.16 | (2.83) | 6.92 | |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies | 0.64 | 30 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.31 | (2.35) | 10.46 | |
| BXC | BlueLinx Holdings | (2.92) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.47 | (4.37) | 14.89 | |
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct | (0.52) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.33 | (2.30) | 7.60 | |
| DXPE | DXP Enterprises | (0.20) | 12 per month | 2.45 | 0.15 | 4.38 | (3.85) | 15.13 | |
| GWW | WW Grainger | 5.74 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.18 | (1.80) | 7.86 | |
| SITE | SiteOne Landscape Supply | (0.29) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.78 | (3.42) | 9.51 | |
| WSO | Watsco Inc | 10.75 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.52 | (3.21) | 13.32 | |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | (0.66) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.51 | (1.79) | 4.71 | |
| WCC-PA | WESCO International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.24 | (0.16) | 1.05 |
Core Main Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Core price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Core using various technical indicators. When you analyze Core charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Core Main Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Core Main stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Core Main, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Core Main based on analysis of Core Main hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Core Main's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Core Main's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005876 | 0.005582 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.88 | 1.06 |
Story Coverage note for Core Main
The number of cover stories for Core Main depends on current market conditions and Core Main's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Core Main is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Core Main's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Core Main Short Properties
Core Main's future price predictability will typically decrease when Core Main's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Core Main often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Core Main's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Core Main's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 227.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1000 K |
Check out Core Main Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Core Stock, please use our How to Invest in Core Main guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Core Main. If investors know Core will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Core Main listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.056 | Earnings Share 2.14 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.115 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Core Main is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Core that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Core Main's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Core Main's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Core Main's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Core Main's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Core Main's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Core Main is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Core Main's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.