Bluelinx Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| BXC Stock | USD 84.36 0.37 0.44% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.985 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.0825 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.435 | Wall Street Target Price 123 |
Using BlueLinx Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BlueLinx Holdings from the perspective of BlueLinx Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BlueLinx Holdings using BlueLinx Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BlueLinx using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BlueLinx Holdings' stock price.
BlueLinx Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.76 |
BlueLinx Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BlueLinx Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BlueLinx Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BlueLinx Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when BlueLinx Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BlueLinx Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BlueLinx because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BlueLinx Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 82.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BlueLinx contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BlueLinx Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0475% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With BlueLinx Holdings trading at USD 84.36, that is roughly USD 0.0401 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BlueLinx Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring BlueLinx Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
BlueLinx |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BlueLinx Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BlueLinx Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BlueLinx Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BlueLinx Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BlueLinx Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BlueLinx Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BlueLinx Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BlueLinx Holdings' historical news coverage. BlueLinx Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 79.44 and 84.68, respectively. We have considered BlueLinx Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BlueLinx Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BlueLinx Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
BlueLinx Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BlueLinx Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BlueLinx Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BlueLinx Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.66 | 2.62 | 1.93 | 0.48 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
84.36 | 82.06 | 2.30 |
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BlueLinx Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February BlueLinx Holdings is traded for 84.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.93, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.48. BlueLinx is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 82.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 89.73%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.3%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.66%. The volatility of related hype on BlueLinx Holdings is about 360.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 84.84. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BlueLinx Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.19. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2007. The firm had 1:10 split on the 14th of June 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out BlueLinx Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BlueLinx Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BlueLinx Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BlueLinx Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how BlueLinx Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BlueLinx Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DXPE | DXP Enterprises | (0.20) | 12 per month | 2.45 | 0.15 | 4.38 | (3.85) | 15.13 | |
| DSGR | Distribution Solutions Group | (0.30) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.71 | (3.22) | 7.76 | |
| CNM | Core Main | 0.80 | 11 per month | 1.28 | 0.08 | 3.06 | (2.26) | 18.90 | |
| WCC-PA | WESCO International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.24 | (0.16) | 1.05 | |
| GIC | Global Industrial Co | 0.25 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.16 | (2.83) | 6.92 | |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies | 1.57 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.31 | (2.35) | 10.46 | |
| FERG | Ferguson Plc | 0.21 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.71 | (2.80) | 13.86 | |
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct | (0.52) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.33 | (2.30) | 7.60 | |
| GWW | WW Grainger | 5.74 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.18 | (1.80) | 7.86 | |
| SITE | SiteOne Landscape Supply | (0.29) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.78 | (3.42) | 9.51 |
BlueLinx Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BlueLinx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BlueLinx using various technical indicators. When you analyze BlueLinx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BlueLinx Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BlueLinx Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BlueLinx Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlueLinx Holdings based on analysis of BlueLinx Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BlueLinx Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BlueLinx Holdings's related companies. | 2016 | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 19.99 | 23.86 | 14.47 | 25.03 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 42.22 | 48.87 | 52.73 | 34.76 |
Story Coverage note for BlueLinx Holdings
The number of cover stories for BlueLinx Holdings depends on current market conditions and BlueLinx Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BlueLinx Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BlueLinx Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BlueLinx Holdings Short Properties
BlueLinx Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when BlueLinx Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BlueLinx Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BlueLinx Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BlueLinx Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 505.6 M |
Complementary Tools for BlueLinx Stock analysis
When running BlueLinx Holdings' price analysis, check to measure BlueLinx Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BlueLinx Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of BlueLinx Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BlueLinx Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BlueLinx Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BlueLinx Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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