Cellebrite Di Stock Price Prediction
| CLBT Stock | USD 18.25 0.97 5.61% |
Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0761 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4116 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4768 | Wall Street Target Price 28 |
Using Cellebrite hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cellebrite DI from the perspective of Cellebrite response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cellebrite using Cellebrite's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cellebrite using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cellebrite's stock price.
Cellebrite Short Interest
An investor who is long Cellebrite may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cellebrite and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cellebrite with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 17.4706 | Short Percent 0.0096 | Short Ratio 0.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 929.6 K | 50 Day MA 21.4286 |
Cellebrite DI Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cellebrite's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cellebrite. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cellebrite can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cellebrite DI. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cellebrite's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cellebrite.
Cellebrite Implied Volatility | 1.21 |
Cellebrite's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cellebrite DI stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cellebrite's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cellebrite stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cellebrite's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cellebrite to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cellebrite because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cellebrite after-hype prediction price | USD 18.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cellebrite contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cellebrite DI will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0756% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Cellebrite trading at USD 18.25, that is roughly USD 0.0138 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cellebrite's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cellebrite DI options at the current volatility level of 1.21%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Cellebrite |
Cellebrite After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cellebrite at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cellebrite or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cellebrite, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cellebrite Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cellebrite's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cellebrite's historical news coverage. Cellebrite's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.11 and 21.17, respectively. We have considered Cellebrite's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cellebrite is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cellebrite DI is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cellebrite Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cellebrite is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cellebrite backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cellebrite, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 3.03 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.25 | 18.14 | 0.60 |
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Cellebrite Hype Timeline
Cellebrite DI is currently traded for 18.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Cellebrite is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Cellebrite is about 3246.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.24. About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.35. Cellebrite DI had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Cellebrite Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cellebrite Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cellebrite's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cellebrite's future price movements. Getting to know how Cellebrite's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cellebrite may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CSGS | CSG Systems International | (0.80) | 10 per month | 1.41 | 0.18 | 2.80 | (2.15) | 8.74 | |
| CCSI | Consensus Cloud Solutions | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.97 | (4.06) | 20.81 | |
| STER | Sterling Check Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCWX | Secureworks Corp | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.70 | 0.36 | (0.24) | 1.07 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | (0.21) | 8 per month | 1.37 | 0.07 | 2.06 | (1.85) | 18.49 | |
| GB | Global Blue Group | 0.03 | 7 per month | 1.74 | 0.15 | 3.86 | (3.54) | 18.44 | |
| LVOX | LiveVox Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ESMT | EngageSmart LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EVCM | EverCommerce | 0.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.72 | (3.52) | 10.24 |
Cellebrite Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cellebrite price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cellebrite using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cellebrite charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cellebrite Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cellebrite stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cellebrite DI, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cellebrite based on analysis of Cellebrite hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cellebrite's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cellebrite's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0779 | 0.0818 | Price To Sales Ratio | 11.5 | 7.59 |
Story Coverage note for Cellebrite
The number of cover stories for Cellebrite depends on current market conditions and Cellebrite's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cellebrite is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cellebrite's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cellebrite Short Properties
Cellebrite's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cellebrite's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cellebrite DI often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cellebrite's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cellebrite's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 209.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 447.2 M | |
| Shares Float | 91 M |
Additional Tools for Cellebrite Stock Analysis
When running Cellebrite's price analysis, check to measure Cellebrite's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cellebrite is operating at the current time. Most of Cellebrite's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cellebrite's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cellebrite's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cellebrite to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.