Cellebrite Di Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CLBT Stock  USD 18.25  0.97  5.61%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cellebrite DI is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cellebrite DI given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cellebrite DI, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Cellebrite Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cellebrite and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Cellebrite DI. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Cellebrite Buy or Sell Advice

The Cellebrite recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cellebrite DI. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cellebrite DI or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cellebrite's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CellebriteBuy Cellebrite
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Cellebrite DI has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), Jensen Alpha of (0.12), Total Risk Alpha of 0.1841 and Treynor Ratio of (0.26)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Cellebrite DI and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Cellebrite is not overpriced, please confirm all Cellebrite DI fundamentals, including its price to earning, current ratio, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and price to earnings to growth . Given that Cellebrite DI has a number of shares shorted of 909.74 K, we suggest you to validate Cellebrite DI market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Cellebrite Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cellebrite DI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cellebrite DI has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cellebrite DI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 401.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (283.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 338.61 M.
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cellebrite DIs Buy Rating Reaffirmed at Needham Company LLC - Defense World

Cellebrite Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cellebrite's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cellebrite's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cellebrite daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cellebrite DI price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cellebrite returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cellebrite.
Mean Return
-0.19
Value At Risk
-4.95
Potential Upside
4.31
Standard Deviation
3.07
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cellebrite historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cellebrite Stock Institutional Investors

The Cellebrite's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Cellebrite's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Crescent Park Management, L.p.2024-12-31
1.9 M
Ashford Capital Management Inc2024-12-31
1.9 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-12-31
1.8 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
1.6 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
1.5 M
Phoenix Financial Ltd2024-12-31
1.4 M
Meitav Dash Investments Ltd2024-12-31
1.4 M
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-12-31
1.3 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
True Wind Capital Management, L.p.2024-12-31
13.9 M
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
10.6 M
Note, although Cellebrite's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cellebrite Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(693K)(1.8M)(3.7M)243K982K1.0M
Investments14.8M73.3M(91.2M)(63.1M)(56.8M)(54.0M)
Change In Cash52.2M12.1M(58.3M)101.9M117.2M123.0M
Free Cash Flow60.3M27.9M11.5M94.1M118.3M124.2M
Depreciation5.9M7.1M9.2M10.0M10.6M8.6M
Other Non Cash Items626K(67.9M)(117.9M)110.5M366.5M384.9M
Capital Expenditures6.2M8.1M9.1M7.9M8.6M8.4M
Net Income5.8M71.4M120.8M(81.1M)(283.0M)(268.9M)
End Period Cash Flow133.8M146.0M87.6M189.5M191.7M152.2M

Cellebrite Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cellebrite or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cellebrite's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cellebrite stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.77
σ
Overall volatility
3.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Cellebrite Volatility Alert

Cellebrite DI exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.08 and kurtosis of 3.63. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cellebrite's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cellebrite's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cellebrite Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cellebrite's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cellebrite's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cellebrite and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cellebrite or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cellebrite's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cellebrite by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cellebrite to competition
FundamentalsCellebritePeer Average
Return On Equity-1.53-0.31
Return On Asset0.0581-0.14
Profit Margin(0.71) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.49 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding214.84 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders49.99 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions51.44 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted909.74 K4.71 M
Price To Earning82.18 X28.72 X
Price To Book11.69 X9.51 X
Price To Sales9.77 X11.42 X
Revenue401.2 M9.43 B
Gross Profit338.61 M27.38 B
EBITDA(265.38 M)3.9 B
Net Income(283.01 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents142.51 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.75 X5.01 X
Total Debt10.97 M5.32 B
Current Ratio1.35 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.44 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations126.84 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.40 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.35) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth13.39 X4.89 X
Target Price28.0
Beta1.53-0.15
Market Capitalization3.92 B19.03 B
Total Asset690.57 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(164.86 M)9.33 B
Working Capital168.26 M1.48 B
Net Asset690.57 M

Cellebrite Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cellebrite . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cellebrite Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cellebrite DI? Buying financial instruments such as Cellebrite Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cellebrite in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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SRI Sustainable Growth
SRI Sustainable Growth Theme
Socially responsible investments that include companies making a positive, sustainable or social impact and exclude those making a negative impact. The SRI Sustainable Growth theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize SRI Sustainable Growth Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Cellebrite Stock Analysis

When running Cellebrite's price analysis, check to measure Cellebrite's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cellebrite is operating at the current time. Most of Cellebrite's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cellebrite's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cellebrite's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cellebrite to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.